Mets vs Rockies Prediction 5/30/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 30th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 34-22 this season after they won two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 2-1, 6-4, and 4-9. In their game three loss, New York cut the deficit to 5-3 in the third inning, but allowed the next four runs in the game, which put the game out of reach. The Mets recorded five hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Vientos, who went 1-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. New York started Canning, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Waddell allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Mets won two out of three against the Dodgers, but lost two out of three against the Red Sox before that. New York has won four of their last five games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.87 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 243 runs with a .245 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 11 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added 10 home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 3-2 with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 58.0 innings pitched this season. 

Colorado Rockies Betting Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 9-47 this year after they lost all three games against the Cubs by scores of 1-3, 3-4, and 1-2. In their game three loss, Colorado cut the deficit to 2-1 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find any more offense in the loss. The Rockies recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Freeman, who went 0-3 with one RBI in the loss. Colorado started Gordon, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Rolison, Herget, and Vodnik combined for 3.1 scoreless innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to that series, the Rockies lost two out of three against the Yankees and all four against the Phillies. Colorado has lost 10 of their last 11 games, and they are currently last in the NL West standings. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.55 ERA with a 1.60 WHIP and a .296 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 177 runs with a .218 batting average and a .283 on-base percentage this season. Hunter Goodman has led Colorado with seven home runs and 31 RBIs, while Jordan Beck has added eight home runs and 16 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Kyle Freeland, who is 0-7 with a 5.86 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP over 55.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Rockies

• The Rockies have lost each of their last 11 night games at Citi Field following a loss.
• The Mets have won eight of their last nine night games at Citi Field following a loss.
• The Rockies have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Rockies have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rockies’ last six road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Mets’ last eight games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Rockies’ last seven night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Brett Baty has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Siri has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Brett Baty has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Rockies.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

• Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in three of the Rockies’ last four road games against the Mets.
• Ezequiel Tovar has recorded a Double in each of the Rockies’ last five games at Citi Field.
• Kyle Freeland has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
• Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rockies’ last eight games against the Mets.
• Kris Bryant has recorded at least one Single in each of his last four appearances against the Mets.
• Thairo Estrada has scored a run in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
• German Marquez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.87).
• The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (36).
• The Rockies rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (177).
• The Rockies rank 1st in the league for triples this season (15).

Mets vs Rockies Prediction 

Colorado comes into this contest looking for their tenth win of the season, but they are just 3-25 on the road this year. The Rockies have scored one run in three of their last five games, and they are batting just .218 on the season. New York is 21-7 at home this year, and they are starting Peterson, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Colorado is going with Freeland, who has allowed at least four earned runs in two of his last four starts. Take the Mets -2.5 here.