Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5-22-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 22nd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Miami is Swinging a Hot Bat

The Miami Marlins are 16-34 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Miami won game one in this series by a score of 3-2, but they did lose game two. Prior to this series, the Marlins won two out of three games against the Mets, won two out of three against the Tigers, and lost two out of three against the Phillies. Miami has won six of their last nine games, but they continue to be last in the NL East behind the Phillies, Braves, Nationals, and Mets. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.94 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 192 runs with a .233 batting average and a .290 on base percentage. Bryan De La Cruz is batting .263 with nine home runs and 25 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami is 22nd in runs scored so far this season, but they have scored at least five runs in five of their last nine games. 

Milwaukee Continues to Struggle 

The Milwaukee Brewers are 28-20 this year, and they have lost three of their last five games. Milwaukee lost the first game in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 7-5 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Brewers lost two out of three against Houston, won two out of three against Pittsburgh, and won three out of four against St. Louis. Milwaukee is just 8-9 in their last 17 games, but they continue to hold a small lead in the NL Central over the Cubs. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Brewers’ offense has scored 244 runs with a .256 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. William Contreras is batting .335 with seven home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee is 15th in team ERA this year and they have allowed at least four runs in five of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 3-2 with a 4.17 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 49.2 innings pitched this season. Peralta has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts and allowed five earned runs and eight hits over 5.0 innings against the Astros in his last outing. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Jesus Luzardo, who is 1-3 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this year. Luzardo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three consecutive starts, but did allow 12 earned runs in the two starts before that. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
The Brewers have lost six of their last eight games as favorites against the Marlins following a win.
The Marlins have covered the run line in five of their last six games as home underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 games as favorites against the Marlins following a road win.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Marlins’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Three of the Brewers’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 

Miami comes into this game with one of the worst records in the MLB, but they have played much better recently and their offense is getting on track. On the other side, Milwaukee is leading the NL Central, but they are under .500 in their last 17 games. The Brewers are 16-11 on the road, while Miami is 9-19 at home. I don’t love how the Brewers have been playing, and I think Luzardo has looked very good in his last three outings. My Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction is for the Marlins to pick up another win.