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Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 3-29-24 Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates (1-0) vs. Miami Marlins (0-1)
March 29, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -115 / Pittsburgh Pirates +105; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Pirates vs Marlins prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates recent form and player performance
  • The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
  • Recent betting trends in games played between the Pirates and Marlins
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Pirates vs Marlins game

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pirates had a lengthy 12-inning battle on their hands in the Thursday opener of this series. In the end Pittsburgh emerged victorious 6-5, thanks in part to Bryan Reynolds and his two RBI. Ke’Bryan Hayes also managed a pair of hits with two walks and a run in the win.

For the Friday starting pitcher role, the Pirates will go with Martin Perez. Last year over his 35 games (20 starts), Perez put up a 4.45 ERA and a 10-4 record overall, striking out 93 batters in 141.2 innings. Perez has a career 4.44 ERA with an 85-81 record over 288 games (243 starts). The Pirates will take on the Nationals, Orioles, Tigers, and Phillies after this series.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they blew a lead by giving up two runs in the seventh inning (and one in the eighth) on Thursday. Miami didn’t score after the fifth inning on eight team hits. Jake Burger bagged three hits, three RBI and a run in the win. Jesus Sanchez and Tim Anderson each had an RBI as well.

It’ll be AJ Puk in the starter slot for the Marlins on Friday. During his four starts in Spring Training Puk went 1-0 with a 1.32 ERA and 23 Ks in 13.2 innings total. Put posted a 7-5 record last year with a 3.97 ERA over 58 games (zero starts). He struck out 78 batters in 56.2 total innings. The Marlins will play against the Angels and Cardinals after this series.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won eight of the Marlins’ last 10 games at LoanDepot Park.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games against the Pirates at LoanDepot Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

  • The Pirates have won 10 of their last 11 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 11 night games following a road win.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four games at LoanDepot Park.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last three games at LoanDepot Park.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at LoanDepot Park.

Pirates vs Marlins Prediction

I’ll take a stab on the Pirates in this one. In Thursday’s game Pittsburgh did a good job of climbing out of a late-game hole and ended up persevering in the end. The Pirates pen put up 6.1 innings with just one hit, no earned, two walks and four Ks in a pretty stellar performance. It took the offense a few innings to cash in on the extra chances but they got it done. Perez should be able to put up a solid performance himself on Friday, so I like Pittsburgh’s chances. Should be another close game, though.

Andrew's Free Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +105

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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