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Miami Marlins vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 4-17-24 Picks

San Francisco Giants (7-10) vs. Miami Marlins (3-14)
April 17, 2024 12:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +116 / San Francisco Giants -137; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Francisco Giants and the Miami Marlins meet Wednesday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Giants vs Marlins prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

  • The San Francisco Giants recent form and player performance
  • The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Francisco Giants
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
  • Recent betting trends in games played between the Giants and Marlins
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Giants vs Marlins game

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The Giants played the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend, taking two of three games before eking out a win over Miami 4-3 on Monday. In the Tuesday matchup San Francisco blew an early 2-0 lead and ultimately fell 6-3. Matt Chapman managed a solo homer in the defeat, and starter Jordan Hicks put up 5.0 innings with two earned on three hits and three walks.

Keaton Winn will take the starting pitcher role for the Giants on Wednesday. This year over three starts Winn is 0-3 with a 5.06 ERA and 13 Ks in 16.0 innings. In his career Winn is 1-6 with a 4.78 ERA in 12 games (eight starts).

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they took on the Atlanta Braves in their weekend series and lost two of three games. On Tuesday in game two versus the Giants, the Marlins scored three runs in the sixth inning and never looked back. Ryan Weathers went 6.0 innings in the starting role with five hits, one walk and 10 Ks.

It’ll be AJ Puk in the starting pitcher role for the Marlins on Wednesday. Over his three starts this year Puk is also winless (0-3) with a 5.91 ERA and eight Ks in 10.2 innings. Put is 13-14 with a 3.87 ERA over 145 career games (three starts).

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last 10 day games against the Giants following a win.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against NL West opponents following a home win.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The Marlins have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.

San Francisco Giants Team Facts

  • The Giants have won each of their last 10 day games against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Giants have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 games as favorites.
  • The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last five day games at LoanDepot Park.

Giants vs Marlins Prediction

I’ll take a stab on the Marlins. This one’s going to come down to starting pitching between two winless pitchers (one who is ironically named Winn). Over his last two starts, Puk has three earned in 8.2 innings on nine hits and eight walks. As for the aforementioned Winn, he’s given up six earned in his last 11.0 innings. Both guys are capable of quality starts; it’s just going to depend on performance.

On Tuesday the Marlins got RBI from five different players—including two from Luis Arraez (along with two hits and a run). Burch Smith (0.1 innings; three hits; one earned) was a little rough but otherwise the pen did well otherwise. I like Miami to keep it going Wednesday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Miami Marlins +116

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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