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Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4-17-24 Picks

Atlanta Braves (11-5) vs. Houston Astros (6-13)
April 17, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros +130 / Atlanta Braves -150; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 17th at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

  • The Astros recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Braves recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Houston
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Atlanta
  • Recent betting trends in games played between Houston and Atlanta
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Houston and Atlanta

Astros Preview

The Houston Astros are 6-13 this year and they have lost six of their last eight games. Houston has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed at least five runs in six of their last seven games. Prior to this series, the Astros won two out of three at home against Texas. The Houston pitching staff has a 5.39 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and a .269 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 83 runs with a .269 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Kyle Tucker is batting .260 with five home runs and 14 RBI’s for the Astros. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is J.P. France, who is 0-2 with an 8.22 ERA and a 1.89 WHIP over 15.1 innings pitched this year. 

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 11-5 this season and they have won three games in a row. Atlanta has won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-1 and 6-2, and they have scored 21 runs in their last three games. Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three on the road against Miami. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 103 runs with a .302 batting average and a .366 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .364 with seven home runs and 22 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Max Fried, who is 1-0 with an 8.74 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP over 11.1 innings pitched this season.

Houston Astros Team Facts

  • The Astros have won each of their last six day games against National League opponents.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
  • The Astros have led after 7 innings in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents.
  • The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against National League opponents.
  • The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine day games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The Braves have won each of their last 10 Wednesday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three day games against American League opponents.
  • The Braves have led after 7 innings in each of their last eight Wednesday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against AL West opponents.

Astros vs Braves Prediction

Houston comes into this game struggling through 19 games this season and their pitching staff has really let them down. The Astros are dealing with quite a few injuries to their starting pitching, which has not helped them. Atlanta has had some issues with their pitching as well, but their offense has been red hot to start the year. The Braves are starting Max Fried, who struggled in his first two starts, but did pitch well against Miami last time out. The Astros are going with J.P. France, who has allowed 14 earned runs over 15.1 innings pitched in three starts this season. Houston’s offense hasn’t shown up so far in this series, but I think they can get to Fried here. On the other side, France has been pretty bad through three starts. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 9.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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