Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 6-17-24 Picks

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Miami Marlins meet Monday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The Cardinals took on the rival Chicago Cubs over the weekend. St. Louis won Friday’s matchup 3-0 but fell 5-1 in game two. In the Sunday rubber match the Cardinals eked out a 2-1 win to take the set. Miles Mikolas posted 6.1 innings in the start with one earned on four hits.

For the Monday opener with the Marlins, the Cardinals will send out Sonny Gray. This year Gray is 8-4 with a 3.01 ERA and 91 Ks in 68.2 innings over 12 starts. Gray is 106-89 with a 3.45 career ERA in 291 games (282 starts).

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they played the Washington Nationals over the weekend. Miami lost the first two installments of that set 8-1 and 4-0. In the finale Sunday, the Marlins fell 3-1 to complete the sweep. 

As starter for the Monday game, the Marlins are sending out Braxton Garrett. This year Garrett is 2-2 with a 6.10 ERA and 28 Ks in 31.0 innings over six starts. Garrett has a career record of 16-19 with a 4.07 ERA in 64 games (62 starts). The Marlins will meet the Phillies after this series.

Cardinals vs Marlins Injury Notes

Cardinals catcher Wilson Contreras (forearm) is likely to begin a rehab assignment Tuesday.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cardinals’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the Marlins’ last 15 home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last seven games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Cardinals and Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Braxton Garrett has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his five previous home appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Jazz Chisholm has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.
• Tim Anderson has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Marlins’ last four night games.
• Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five home games against NL Central opponents.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Cardinals.
• Tim Anderson has recorded two or more hits in each of the Marlins’ last four night games.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last five games.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in each of his last nine appearances with the Cardinals as favorites.
• Willson Contreras has recorded a Double in each of his last five appearances against NL East opponents at LoanDepot Park.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cardinals’ last 11 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Sonny Gray has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Cardinals’ last five road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 11 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cardinals’ last six night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Sonny Gray has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
• Lars Nootbaar has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Cardinals as favorites against NL opponents.

Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

I’ll stick with the Cardinals. Gray needs to keep it going on the mound, though. He kicked off June with a couple of spotty outings, totaling an 0-2 record with seven earned on seven hits and seven walks in 9.2 innings. In his most recent start though, Gray managed a win over the Pirates with one earned in 7.0 frames.

On Sunday the Cards had nine team hits but could only score during one inning. Thanks to the excellent pitching job across the board however, that was enough. Pedro Pages had both RBI (homer) and Brandon Crawford (two walks; hit) scored the other run. It would be nice to see a little more fireworks at the plate in Monday’s game.