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Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction 8/23/25 MLB Picks Today

Toronto Blue Jays (75-54) vs. Miami Marlins (60-68)
August 23, 2025 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +118 / Toronto Blue Jays -144; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Toronto Blue Jays will start Jose Berrios here and Berrios is 9-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 121 strikeouts this season. In his career, Berrios is 1-2 with a 7.07 ERA and 19 strikeouts against Miami. Janson Junk will get the start for the Marlins here and is 6-2 with a 4.04 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. This will be Junk’s first career start against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Recap

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this game looking to add on to their 5-2 win over the Marlins from Friday to sit at 75-54 this season. After this series, the Blue Jays will head home for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

Blue Jays Looking For Another Series Win

George Springer has 106 hits and Bo Bichette has 157 hits with Springer adding 21 home runs, a triple, 18 doubles and 62 RBIs while Bichette has 38 doubles, 16 home runs and 82 RBIs. Andres Gimenez has added 51 hits with 7 doubles and 5 home runs and 23 RBIs this season along with 10 stolen bases. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also has 21 homers, 30 doubles and 69 RBIs while Springer also has a .292 batting average and 80 strikeouts up to this point in the year. Addison Barger’s chipped in 26 doubles with 18 home runs and 59 RBIs and Ernie Clement’s added 24 doubles as part of his 123 hits this season.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The road team has won each of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Marlins.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last five games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Marlins.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against the Blue Jays following a loss.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Berrios has recorded five or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 18 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 15 day games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of Toronto last time out to fall to 60-68 this year. After this series, the Marlins will take on the Atlanta Braves in a home division series.

Marlins Lose 7 Of Their Last 10

Xavier Edwards has 136 hits including 20 doubles and a team-high 23 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 91 hits with 21 doubles. Otto Lopez has 99 hits with 17 doubles and 11 home runs with 58 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 115 hits with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 25 home runs and 73 RBIs but also has 125 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 18 home runs, 27 doubles and 56 RBIs on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight road games against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have won each of their last four day games at LoanDepot Park following a loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games following a road win.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Six of the Marlins’ last seven home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Six of the Blue Jays’ last eight road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction

I’m on the Blue Jays in this one. I do have my concerns about Jose Berrios as a whole, as he has been hittable as of late, but I still think the Blue Jays are the more consistent lineup across the board. Especially when it comes to production against right-handed pitching. As long as we keep getting reasonable prices with Toronto, I’m going to keep taking them. Give me the Blue Jays here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -144

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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