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Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 4-27-24 Picks

Washington Nationals (10-14) vs. Miami Marlins (6-20)
April 27, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -141 / Washington Nationals +119; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Nationals played the Los Angeles Dodgers in a three-game set this week. Things didn’t go well in that series, as Washington lost all three for a sweep. As for Friday versus Miami, in that one the Nationals bagged a 3-1 win thanks to two runs in the eighth inning. Trevor Williams posted 5.0 innings with one earned, five hits and two walks in the starting role.

It’ll be Mitchell Parker in the starting pitcher role for the Nationals on Saturday. In his two starts so far this year (the first two of his career), Parker is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 12 strikeouts over 12.0 innings.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they played the Atlanta Braves in their last set. Miami also took a sweep in those games, falling 3-0, 5-0 and 4-3. On Friday versus the Dodgers, the Marlins had the game tied in the eighth inning but couldn’t close it out. Vidal Brujan had two hits and a run in the defeat.

It’ll be Edward Cabrera in the starting pitcher role for the Marlins on Saturday. This year over two starts Cabrera is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA and 17 Ks in 11.0 innings. Over his career (45 games and 43 starts), Cabrera is 14-14 with a 3.97 ERA.

Nationals vs Marlins Injury Notes

Nationals 3B Nick Senzel was scratched from the starting lineup before Thursday’s game due to a stomach illness. Senzel is coming back from an absence due to a fractured left thumb.

Marlins SP Jesus Luzardo was scratched from Friday’s scheduled start due to soreness in his left elbow.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last eight games as favorites.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 15 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Nationals.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The Nationals have lost each of their last six day games following a road win.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction

I’ll probably stick with the Nationals. Parker has done well over his first two starts. In his debut April 15 versus the Dodgers, Parker collected a win with 5.0 innnings and two earned on four hits. He was even better on April 21 versus the Astros, notching a clean 7.0 innings with three hits and no walks. As for Cabrera, he’s coming off a win over the Cubs in which he surrendered three earned on seven hits and three walks.

In the Friday game, the Nationals had a pretty well-rounded offensive outing. Trey Lipscomb and Jacob Young each had two hits with a run. The bullpen was great as well with 4.0 innings, one hit, no earned, no walks and seven Ks. Washington will be in great shape for game two.

Andrew's Free Pick: Washington Nationals +119

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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