Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9-3-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 3rd at loanDepot Park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 51-86 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Miami is coming off of a series win against San Francisco, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Marlins split four games with the Rockies, lost two out of three against the Cubs, and lost all three against the Diamondbacks. Miami is 5-8 in their last 13 games and they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 520 runs with a .241 batting average and a .296 on-base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .247 with 25 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 61-76 this year and they have lost three games in a row. Washington is coming off of a series loss against the Cubs, where they lost all three games and allowed 26 runs in three games. Prior to that series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Yankees, lost two out of three against the Braves, and won two out of three against the Rockies. Washington is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the NL East. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .262 opponent batting average. The Nationals’ offense has scored 575 runs with a .245 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .244 with 18 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Nationals this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 3-4 with a 5.44 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 51.1 innings pitched this year. Meyer has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Patrick Corbin, who is 4-12 with a 5.50 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP over 147.1 innings pitched this season. Corbin has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last three starts (16.1 IP). 

Why the Nationals will beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have won each of their last seven games against the Marlins.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games at LoanDepot Park.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home night games.
• The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Nationals’ last eight night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Marlins’ last seven games as favorites against the Nationals have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six night games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last 14 Tuesday games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jonah Bride has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has scored at least one run in each of his last eight home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last eight games as underdogs against the Marlins.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one total base in each of the Nationals’ last eight games as underdogs against the Marlins.
• Luis Garcia has scored a run in each of his last eight Tuesday appearances against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Keibert Ruiz has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Joey Meneses has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one Single in each of the Nationals’ last seven games as underdogs against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Prediction 

These two teams come into this matchup sitting at the bottom of the NL East standings, but Washington does have a 10-game advantage and is fourth in the division. The Nationals are 29-39 on the road, while the Marlins are 25-44 at home. These two teams haven’t had much success this season, but the good news is that one team will win this one. Both of these starting pitchers have some ugly numbers on the season, but Patrick Corbin has actually been pretty solid in his last three outings. Take the Nationals to win game one in this series here.