Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 7-31-24 MLB Picks

Atlanta Braves (57-49) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (61-46)
July 31, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers +115 / Atlanta Braves -135; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 31st at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Brewers Trying to Avoid Second Straight Series Loss

The Milwaukee Brewers are 61-46 this year and they have won two of their last three games. Milwaukee won the first game in this series by a score of 8-3, but they only scored one run in game two. Prior to this series, the Brewers lost two out of three against the Marlins, won two out of three against the Cubs, and won both games against the Twins. Milwaukee is 7-4 in their last 11 games and they are leading the NL Central.

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 507 runs with a .254 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .250 with 17 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee has allowed at least five runs in three of their last five games.

Braves are Gaining Momentum

The Atlanta Braves are 57-49 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Atlanta dropped the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 5-1 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Braves split four games with the Mets, lost both games against the Reds, and lost two out of three against the Cardinals. Atlanta is 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are second in the NL East.

The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Diamondbacks offense has scored 449 runs with a .240 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .305 with 31 home runs and 84 RBI’s for the Braves this season. Atlanta has allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last four games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 6-6 with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 114.1 innings pitched this year. Peralta has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 13-3 with a 2.68 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 117.1 innings pitched this season. Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts.

Why the Braves will beat the Brewers

The Brewers have lost six of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Braves have won five of their last six games against the Brewers.
The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Brewers following a win.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against the Braves following a loss.
The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Brewers.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the Braves’ last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last seven day games at American Family Field.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

Willy Adames has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
William Contreras has recorded a Double in each of the Brewers’ last three games as underdogs against the Braves.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
Sal Frelick has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last six home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against the Braves.
Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 home appearances against the Braves.
Freddy Peralta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Brewers as underdogs.
Brice Turang ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves’ last five games against the Brewers.
Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last five games against the Brewers.
Chris Sale has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 Wednesday appearances.
Marcell Ozuna has scored a run in each of the Braves’ last seven road games.
Chris Sale has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
Michael Harris has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL Central opponents.
Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.
Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL Central opponents.
Chris Sale ranks 1st in the league for Wins (13) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.331).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (139).
The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (99).
The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (394).