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Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 6-30-24 Picks

Chicago Cubs (38-45) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (49-33)
June 30, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -167 / Chicago Cubs +141; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

In their early-week series the Cubs took on the San Francisco Giants. Chicago lost the first three installments of that set 5-4, 5-1 and 4-3 before a finale win 5-3. The Cubs lost 4-2 in the Friday opener versus the Brewers, then on Saturday Chicago was out-hit 11-8 in a 5-3 victory. Justin Steele lasted 6.0 innings as starter with three earned on seven hits.

In the starter role for the Cubs on Sunday it’ll be Kyle Hendricks. This year Hendricks is 1-5 with a 6.87 ERA in 14 games (nine starts). In his career Hendricks is 94-74 with a 3.61 ERA in 261 games (255 starts).

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Over on the Brewers’ side, they played three games versus the Texas Rangers this week. Milwaukee won all three of those 6-3, 3-1 and 6-5. The Friday win over Chicago made for a five-game win streak. On Saturday the Brewers gave up two runs in the eighth and couldn’t come back. Tobias Myers had 6.0 innings with three earned as starter.

Freddy Peralta will take the mound for the starting role Sunday. This year so far Peralta is 5-4 with a 4.03 ERA in 16 starts. Peralta is 47-31 with a 3.86 ERA in 162 career games (113 starts).

Brewers vs Cubs Pick Injury Notes

Cubs RP Julian Merryweather (ribs) threw a bullpen session Friday.

Brewers RP Devin Williams (back) was scheduled for another bullpen session this weekend.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Cubs’ last nine games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six Sunday games at American Family Field.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Cubs.
  • Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 games as home favorites against the Cubs.
  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Brewers’ last six games against NL opponents.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one total base in 16 of his last 17 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Cubs’ last five day games.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last eight road games.
  • Seiya Suzuki has scored a run in each of his last seven appearances with the Cubs as road underdogs against the Brewers.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Hendricks has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 Sunday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Ian Happ has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two day games.
  • Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one Double in three of the Cubs’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

I’ll stay with the Cubs. We should have a pretty good starter matchup here, though. In his last three outings combined Hendricks is 1-1 with three earned runs in 17.0 innings total. As for Peralta, he’s 1-0 in his last pair with two earned in 11.0 innings of work.

On Saturday the Cubs blew a 2-0 lead and a 3-2 lead but still powered out the victory. Both Michael Busch and Ian Happ had two RBI and a homer in a pretty good offensive day, and the bullpen held strong. I like Chicago to keep it up Sunday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Chicago Cubs +141

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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