NY Mets (87-70) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (91-68)
September 27, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -110 / NY Mets -109; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The NY Mets and Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Prediction. This article will include a Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Pick.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The NY Mets are 87-70 on the year after playing the Phillies and Braves. The NY Mets have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The NY Mets have won 4 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the NY Mets with 163 hits and 86 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 267 hits and 175 RBI.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 91-68 on the year after playing the Diamondbacks and Pirates. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 13 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 10 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 166 hits and 92 RBI, while Willy Adames and Jackson Chourio have combined for 292 hits and 189 RBI.
NY Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Pick Matchup
Sean Manaea gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 12-5 with a 3.29 ERA and 183 strikeouts this season. Manaea has allowed 15 hits and 9 runs in his last 34.1 innings. Manaea has a 2.77 ERA and a .200 allowed batting average in 84.1 road innings. Manaea is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Frankie Montas gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 7-11 with a 4.85 ERA and 142 strikeouts this season. Montas has allowed 16 hits and 13 earned runs in his last 20.1 innings. Montas has a 4.97 ERA and a .264 allowed batting average in 63.1 home innings. Montas is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the NY Mets.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last seven night games following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last four games at American Family Field following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last three home games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three home games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Sal Frelick has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games against NL opponents.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances with the Brewers as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in eight of the Brewers’ last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Frankie Montas has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
- Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Brice Turang ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (47) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded two or more total bases in nine of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last nine games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 17 games.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Brewers.
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Brewers.
- Sean Manaea has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (204).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (582).
- The New York Mets rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (1194).
- The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (564).
Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Prediction
The NY Mets haven’t played since Tuesday, and while that could throw off their rhythm, it also gives guys a chance to catch their breath in a playoff race. It also leads to rested arms where the Mets can really go for it. Sean Manaea has been money these last two months, and the Mets have won each of his last 8 starts. Frankie Montas has been a lot more hittable, and playing at home hasn’t helped much. I have to lean toward the rested Mets on Friday night.
