Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Yankees Prediction 5/10/26 MLB Picks Today

The New York Yankees and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Carlos Rodon for the start and Rodon was 18-9 with a 3.09 ERA and 203 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against Milwaukee, Rodon is 2-1 with a 2.42 ERA and 28 strikeouts. Logan Henderson will start for the Brewers and is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 11 strikeouts this season. This will be Henderson’s first career start against the Yankees.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to shake off a 4-3 loss at the hands of Milwaukee on Saturday to slide to 26-14 on the year. After this series, the Yankees will head on the road for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.

Yankees Drop 3 Of 4

Entering Saturday, Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 37 hits with 9 doubles, 12 home runs and 27 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 37 hits with 6 doubles, 15 home runs and 29 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 40 hits with 10 doubles, 3 triples, 5 home runs and 28 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 28 hits with 5 doubles, 4 home runs and 13 RBIs as well on the year.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their win over New York from Saturday’s matchup to sit at 21-16 this season. After this series, the Brewers will take on the San Diego Padres in a series at home.

Brew Crew Win 3 Straight

Going into Saturday, William Contreras has 38 hits with 7 doubles, 3 home runs and 23 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 36 hits with 8 doubles, a triple, 5 homers and 22 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 30 hits with 6 doubles, 5 home runs and 20 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 24 hits with 3 home runs and 9 RBIs this season. Luis Rengifo’s added 19 hits with 8 doubles and 11 RBIs and Garrett Mitchell has 21 hits wtih 6 doubles and 21 RBIs this season.

New York Yankees @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: May 10, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson      Record this season: 0-1      ERA: 4.50
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Yankees: –

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last three games as road favorites.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games following a road loss.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games.
• The Yankees have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Carlos Rodon      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Road Record: –
• Last 5 against Brewers: 2-1

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won six of their last seven games following a loss.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last three day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against National League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against the Brewers.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Brewers.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in seven of their last eight games against the Brewers.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last eight games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Yankees’ last eight road games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Yankees and Brewers.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Carlos Rodon’s last four appearances as a starter.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Brice Turang has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Sal Frelick has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Brice Turang ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.420) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Rodon has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 Sunday appearances in day games with his team as a favorite.
• Aaron Judge has recorded two hits in each of the Yankees’ last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances.
• Anthony Volpe has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Brewers.
• Aaron Judge ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (15) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (29).
• The Brewers rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (25).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (62).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.12).

New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m on the Yankees in this game. The Yankees fell apart late on Saturday but I think this is a good spot for them to rebound as I’m not trusting Logan Henderson as far as I can throw him in this Brewer rotation. On the flipside, the Brewers have struggled big time against lefties as of late and I think Rodon has a solid debut in this game so give me the Yankees.