Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9-18-24 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Brewers vs Phillies pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Over the weekend the Phillies played the New York Mets. Philadelphia lost the opener of that set then took the next pair 6-4 and 2-1. After a 6-2 loss to Milwaukee in the opener, on Tuesday the Phillies posted 10 hits on the way to a 5-1 victory. Starter Zack Wheeler posted 7.0 innings with one earned in the start.

The starter for Wednesday will be Philly’s Aaron Nola. This year Nola is 12-8 with a 3.62 ERA in 30 starts. Nola is 102-79 with a 3.71 ERA in 265 career starts.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Over on the Brewers’ side, they were able to win their first two weekend games over the Arizona Diamondbacks but lost 11-10 Sunday in a wild game. On Tuesday the Brewers briefly had the game tied 1-1 but couldn’t score after the fourth. Starter Frankie Montas went 5.2 innings with three earned runs and 10 strikeouts.

It’ll be Freddy Peralta in the starter slot on Wednesday. This year Peralta is 11-8 with a 3.75 ERA in 30 starts. Over 176 career games (127 starts) Peralta is 53-35 with a 3.81 ERA.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last six games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Twelve of the Phillies’ last 15 night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Phillies and Brewers.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• William Contreras has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine home appearances against the Phillies.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Phillies.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents.
• Brice Turang ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (44) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last five road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games as road underdogs.
• Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Brewers.
• Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in six of the Phillies’ last seven games at American Family Field.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL Central opponents.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 11 road games.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last 11 road games.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T8th in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (568).
• The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (196).
• The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Philadelphia Phillies rank 4th in the league for hits this season (1336).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Brewers. Probably staying away, though. Peralta hasn’t been too bad over his last trio. He’s 2-1 in those three with seven earned runs in 15.0 total innings. As for Nola, he’s struggled in his last pair with 10 earned over 9.0 total frames.

On Tuesday the Brewers could only muster five team hits, and two of them belonged to Garrett Mitchell (RBI). The bullpen gave up two earned in 3.1 innings and Montas had a few stumbles. Milwaukee needs to regroup for Wednesday’s finale.