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Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 5-14-24 Picks

Pittsburgh Pirates (19-23) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (24-17)
May 14, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -167 / Pittsburgh Pirates +141; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB game 2 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 19-23 on the season and coming off losses to the Angels and Cubs. The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 22 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 42 hits and 19 RBI, while Oneil Cruz and Connor Joe have combined for 76 hits and 38 RBI.


Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 24-17 on the season and are coming off wins over the Royals and Cardinals. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 7 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have won 6 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 57 hits and 30 RBI, while Willy Adames and Brice Turang have combined for 81 hits and 43 RBI.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Quinn Priester gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 0-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. Priester has allowed 12 hits and 5 earned runs in his last 10.2 innings. Priester has a 1.50 ERA and .178 allowed batting average in 12 road innings. This will be Priester’s second career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Joe Ross gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 1-4 with a 4.75 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. Ross has allowed 9 hits and 4 runs in his last 11 innings. Ross has a 8.10 ERA and .317 allowed batting average in 13.1 home innings. Ross is 1-2 with a 2.19 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last seven night games at American Family Field following a win.
  • The Brewers have won 11 of their last 12 night games against the Pirates at American Family Field following a loss.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 road games.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games against the Pirates at American Family Field.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

 

  • William Contreras has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last nine night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • William Contreras has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last eight home games against NL Central opponents.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five night games.
  • Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents.
  • William Contreras ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.354) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

 

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four road games against the Brewers.
  • Bryan Reynolds has scored a run in each of the Pirates’ last eight games as underdogs against the Brewers.
  • Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Yasmani Grandal has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Oneil Cruz has recorded a Double in four of the Pirates’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

 

  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (209).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for RBI’s this season (198).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (161).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.350).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

You can make a case for the Pittsburgh Pirates given that Quinn Priester is on the mound, as he’s been respectable this season with an ERA under 4. The problem is, the Pirates haven’t had much success this season with Priester on the mound, and the Brewers have simply been the more trustworthy team overall. The Pirates have won just 6 games since April 24 and the offense lays an egg more times than not. At home, I expect Ross to get his act together and the Brewers to get a nice feel good victory.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -167

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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