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Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9-27-24 MLB Picks

Baltimore Orioles (88-71) vs. Minnesota Twins (82-77)
September 27, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -172 / Baltimore Orioles +146; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baltimore Orioles and the Minnesota Twins meet Friday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send out Cade Povich for the start here and Povich is 2-9 with a 5.59 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. This will be Povich’s first career start against the Twins. Pablo Lopez will start this one for the Twins and is 15-9 with a 4.11 ERA and 190 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lopez is 2-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Orioles.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this one looking to build some momentum after winning their series with the New York Yankees to start the week despite a 10-1 loss in Thursday’s series finale. The win in the series helped the Orioles snap a series losing streak that included sets against the Tigers and Giants over the last week and a half.

Orioles Looking Ahead To Wild Card Round

Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 177 hits, along with 37 home runs, 91 RBIs, and 7 triples but also has 158 strikeouts in addition to 21 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has 139 hits with 19 home runs and 77 RBIs in addition to 20 doubles while Anthony Santander has 25 doubles with 44 home runs and 101 RBIs. Colton Cowser has 24 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has 29 doubles and Jordan Westburg has 26 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 32 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

  • The Orioles have won each of their last five games as underdogs against the Twins.
  • The Twins have lost each of their last seven games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against the Twins.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this one looking to bounce back after their series loss to the Miami Marlins thanks to an 8-6 loss to the Fish in Thursday’s finale. The series loss for Minnesota was just another disappointing finish to add to their series losing streak, which includes losses to the Red Sox and Guardians over the last week and a half.

Twins Trying To Keep Playoff Hopes Alive

Willi Castro leads the Twins at the dish with 137 hits including 31 doubles and 5 triples as well as 60 RBIs and 14 stolen bases. Ryan Jeffers has 20 home runs, 62 RBIs, and 22 doubles with a .225 batting average and .300 OBP. Carlos Santana has 22 home runs with 68 RBIs while Carlos Correa has 14 home runs, 54 RBIs, and 20 doubles. Jose Miranda has 28 doubles and 4 triples and Castro has a team-high 150 strikeouts so far this season. Byron Buxton also has 25 doubles, 18 homers, and 56 RBIs while Max Kepler has 21 doubles as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Orioles have lost each of their last nine night games at Target Field following a loss.
  • The Twins have won seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Twins at Target Field following a loss.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against the Orioles at Target Field following a home loss.

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I’m on the Twins here. It’s all hands on deck time for Minnesota as they need to win out and either KC or Detroit need to get swept for the Twins to sneak in so one misstep is it for Minnesota. There’s literally no margin for error and Lopez has been arguably the most consistent arm the Twins have had this year. Baltimore’s likely locked in as the top wild card, and it wouldn’t surprise me if some guys didn’t see the field here. Give me Minnesota.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Minnesota -172

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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