NY Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 9-27-24 MLB Picks
Pittsburgh Pirates (74-84) vs. NY Yankees (92-66)
September 27, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -192 / Pittsburgh Pirates +161; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Yankees vs Pirates pick.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
Pittsburgh played the Milwaukee Brewers in their last set. The Pirates lost 7-2 in the opener, then in game two eked out a 2-1 win. In the Thursday matchup, Pittsburgh lost 5-2. Starter Mitch Keller posted 5.0 innings with four of earned runs.
In the starter slot Friday the Pirates will go with Jared Jones. So far Jones is 6-8 with a 4.14 ERA in the first 21 starts of his career.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
Over on the Yankees’ side, they’re fresh off a series versus the Baltimore Orioles. New York lost 5-3 in the first outing, then on Wednesday fell again 9-7. In the finale, the Yankees staved off the sweep with a 10-1 win. Starter Gerrit Cole posted 6.2 clean frames with two hits and a walk.
As a starter for the opener, the Yankees will send out Carlos Rodon. This year Rodon is 16-9 with a 3.98 ERA in 31 starts. Rodon is 75-63 with a 3.85 ERA in 197 games (192 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last five home games against National League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last four games after playing the previous day has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last nine home games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last three games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jazz Chisholm has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last five games.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in each of the Yankees’ last three home games against NL opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Yasmani Grandal has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last six games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has scored at least one run in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents.
NY Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
I might take a value stab at the Pirates. Probably not, though. Jones is coming off a rough loss to the Reds on September 21, giving up six earned on six hits and three walks in 5.0 innings. Prior to that, however, Jones had four earned on 10 hits and three walks in 11.0 innings during two starts, going 1-0 in that time.
Pittsburgh has given up quite a few runs lately. In four of the last six games, the Pirates have surrendered at least five runs. That said, if all goes well it’s conceivable that Pittsburgh could sneak up on a Yankees team coming out of a pretty uneven series versus the rival Orioles.