Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 5-5-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 5th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in this series. 

The Twins are Rolling

The Minnesota Twins are 19-13 this season and they have won 12 games in a row. Minnesota has won the first two games in this series by scores of 5-2 and 3-1. Prior to this series, the Twins swept the White Sox, Angels, and White Sox again. Minnesota did not start the season playing very well, but they have really turned it on recently and are now tied for second in the AL Central with the Royals. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 151 runs with a .239 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Edouard Julien is batting .218 with seven home runs and 14 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored at least five runs in 10 of their last 12 games, while allowing two runs or fewer in three of their last five. 

The Red Sox are Looking for Runs

The Boston Red Sox are 18-16 this year and they have lost three games in a row. Boston has lost the first two games in this series and they have scored three total runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Giants and Cubs, but did lose two out of three against Cleveland. Boston has actually played pretty well this season, despite a questionably built roster, and they are third in the AL East behind the Orioles and Yankees. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 2.62 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a .221 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 153 runs with a .245 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Tyler O’Neill is batting .292 with nine home runs and 13 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has the best team ERA in the MLB to start this season, but their offense has only scored four total runs in their last three games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 34.2 innings pitched this year. Ryan has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, but has allowed at least six hits in three of his last four outings. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Cooper Criswell, who is 2-1 with a 1.65 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 16.1 innings pitched this year. Criswell has allowed 0 earned runs and five hits over his last two starts (10.0 IP) against the Giants and Guardians. Criswell hasn’t lasted very long in his starts this year, but he has been very effective. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Joe Ryan Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 3.38
• The Twins have won each of their last 12 games.
• The Red Sox have lost each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have covered the run line each of their last five home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Cooper Criswell Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 1.65
• The Twins have lost each of their last eight Sunday games against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday road games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Sunday games.

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

Minnesota comes into this contest looking for their 13th straight victory and they are absolutely rolling right now. The Twins are scoring a bunch of runs and they haven’t lost in two weeks, but they are only 8-6 at home this year. Boston is 11-7 on the road, but their offense has disappeared in their last three games. Criswell has been sharp for the Red Sox in limited work this year, but I don’t know how sustainable that is. Minnesota has won by at least two runs in 10 of their last 12 games and I just can’t go against them. My Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for the Twins to win by at least two runs.