Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9-25-24 MLB Picks
Miami Marlins (58-99) vs. Minnesota Twins (81-76)
September 25, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -217 / Miami Marlins +181; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Marlins and the Minnesota Twins meet Sunday in MLB doubleheader action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will send out Edward Cabrera for the start here and Cabrera is 4-8 with a 5.12 ERA and 102 strikeouts this season. This will be Cabrera’s first career start against the Twins. Simeon Woods-Richardson will get the start for the Twins and is 5-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. This will be Woods-Richardson’s first career start against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins will try to keep the ball rolling after starting the series with a 4-1 win over the Twins in Tuesday’s series opener. The win put the Marlins in a decent spot to snap their series losing streak, which includes series losses to the Braves, Dodgers, and Nationals over the last week and a half.
Marlins Trying To Play Spoiler
Jake Burger leads the Marlins with 28 home runs and 69 RBIs along with 125 hits while Jesus Sanchez has 18 home runs and 63 RBIs with 24 doubles. Xavier Edwards also has a team-high 30 stolen bases while Burger has the dubious distinction of leading the Marlins with 145 strikeouts this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Marlins’ last five games at Target Field.
- The Twins have lost each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Twins’ last eight games.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this one looking to bounce back from their series-opening defeat at the hands of the Marlins in Tuesday’s opener. The loss put the Twins at risk of another series loss after series losses to the Red Sox and Guardians over the last week.
Twins Toeing Dangerous Line In Playoff Race
Willi Castro leads the Twins at the dish with 136 hits including 30 doubles and 5 triples as well as 59 RBIs and 14 stolen bases. Ryan Jeffers has 20 home runs, 62 RBIs, and 22 doubles with a .224 batting average and .300 OBP. Carlos Santana has 22 home runs with 65 RBIs while Carlos Correa has 13 home runs, 52 RBIs, and 18 doubles. Jose Miranda has 28 doubles and Castro has a team-high 148 strikeouts so far this season. Byron Buxton also has 25 doubles, 17 homers, and 54 RBIs while Max Kepler has 21 doubles as well this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 10 night games following a win.
- The Twins have won four of their last five games following a home loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games following a road win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in three of their last four games after playing the previous day.
Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins Prediction
I’m on the Marlins here. I just don’t like this price with the Twins giving the start to Woods-Richardson, who has looked like he’s running out of gas down the stretch as a starter not used to this level of workload as a major-leaguer. Edward Cabrera has shown improvement more often than not since returning from the IL, and the Marlins have been better than expected down the stretch against righties. I think there’s value to be had with Miami here. Give me the Fish.