Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5-8-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 8th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in this series. 

Twins are Hot Offensively

The Minnesota Twins are 20-15 this season and they have won 13 of their last 15 games. Minnesota won game one of this series by a score of 3-1 on Monday, but they lost game two on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Twins won two out of three against Boston, swept the White Sox in three games, and swept the Angels. Minnesota has played extremely well recently and they have scored a bunch of runs over the last two weeks, which has propelled them to second in the AL Central behind Cleveland. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 162 runs with a .239 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Willi Castro is batting .263 with two home runs and 12 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota is 14th in runs scored this season, but they have scored at least five runs in 11 of their last 15 games. 

Mariners Battling in the AL West

The Seattle Mariners are 20-16 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Seattle dropped game one in this series on Monday, but they did win game two by a score of 10-6 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Mariners won two out of three against Houston, won two out of three against Atlanta, and won two out of three against Arizona. Seattle has won eight of their last twelve games and they are currently second in the AL West, just a half game behind Texas for first. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.04 ERA, a 1.04 WHIP, and a .207 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 135 runs with a .222 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Mitch Haniger is batting .215 with five home runs and 20 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle has the third best team ERA in the MLB so far this season and they have allowed three runs or fewer in eight of their last twelve games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Chris Paddack, who is 3-1 with a 4.78 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 32.0 innings pitched this season. Paddack has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings, but did allow 13 earned runs and 20 hits in the other two starts, which were both on the road. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is George Kirby, who is 3-2 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 38.1 innings pitched this season. Kirby has allowed a total of one earned run in his last three starts (18.0 IP). 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Paddack Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 4.78
• The Twins have won each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Mariners have lost five of their last six games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against the Mariners.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: George Kirby Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 3.76
• The Mariners have won six of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have lost eight of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in six of their last seven games at Target Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the Twins’ last four games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this game with 20 wins on the season and they will be looking for the series win here. Minnesota has been one of the hottest teams in baseball over the last three weeks, but they are just 9-8 at home. Seattle is a half game out of first in the AL West and they are 9-8 on the road. Paddack has had some road struggles for the Twins, but he has been very good at home in his last three home starts. Kirby has been one of the top pitchers in the MLB over the last two weeks and I don’t think I can pass him up here. My Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for Seattle to pick up the win.