Minnesota Twins vs Texas Rangers Prediction 9/27/26 MLB Picks Today

The Texas Rangers and the Minnesota Twins meet Sunday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Texas Rangers will send out MacKenzie Gore for the start here and Gore is 8-11 with a 4.59 ERA and 174 strikeouts this season. Dean Kremer will get the nod for Minnesota and is 4-5 with a 4.97 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season.

Texas Rangers Recap

The Texas Rangers come into this game looking to add on to their 6-2 win over Minnesota from Saturday to improve to 80-81 this season.

Rangers Need To Win To Have A Shot

Brandon Nimmo leads the Rangers with a team-high 152 hits while adding 35 doubles, 4 triples, 14 home runs, and 61 RBIs so far this season. Ezequiel Duran has added 138 hits with 27 doubles, 4 triples, 17 home runs, and 83 RBIs, while Jake Burger leads Texas in power with a team-high 27 home runs and 89 RBIs alongside 126 hits and 23 doubles on the year. Josh Jung has contributed 119 hits with 27 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs, and 42 RBIs, while Joc Pederson has added 88 hits, 12 doubles, 2 triples, 26 home runs, and 53 RBIs. Corey Seager has logged 85 hits with 16 doubles, 19 home runs, and 49 RBIs, and Evan Carter has chipped in 74 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 9 home runs, and 39 RBIs for Texas up to this point in the season.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to shake off their loss at the hands of the Rangers on Saturday to sit at 76-85 this season.

Twins Out To Play Spoiler

Luke Keaschall leads the Twins with a team-high 147 hits while adding 27 doubles, 3 triples, 10 home runs, and 52 RBIs so far this season. Brooks Lee has logged 146 hits with 24 doubles, 3 triples, 24 home runs, and 83 RBIs, while Josh Bell leads Minnesota with a team-high 92 RBIs alongside 143 hits, 28 doubles, a triple, and 20 home runs on the year. Kody Clemens leads the Twins with a team-high 27 home runs along with 125 hits, 22 doubles, 7 triples, and 79 RBIs. Byron Buxton has added 94 hits with 18 doubles, a triple, 25 home runs, and 46 RBIs, and Victor Caratini has chipped in 71 hits with 9 doubles, 7 home runs, and 44 RBIs up to this point in the season.

Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: September 27, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Dean Kremer      Record this season: 4-5      ERA: 4.97
• Home Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Rangers: 0-3

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last eight day games against AL opponents following a win.
• The Twins have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Rangers following a loss.
• The Twins have covered the run line each of their last eight Sunday games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against AL opponents following a win.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against the Rangers.
• The Twins have won the first inning in six of their last seven games against the Rangers.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Rangers.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: MacKenzie Gore      Record this season: 8-11      ERA: 4.59
• Road Record: 4-9
• Last 5 against Twins: 0-2

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The road team has won five of the last six games between the Rangers and Twins.
• The Twins have lost four of their last five home games after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 games against AL opponents.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against the Twins at Target Field.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last seven games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Rangers’ last six road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last nine games between the Rangers and Twins.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Rangers’ last eight games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Brooks Lee has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last four Sunday games as underdogs.
• Dean Kremer has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has hit a home run in three of the Rangers’ last four games as road favorites.
• MacKenzie Gore has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Ezequiel Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rangers’ last nine games against AL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank 26th in the league for walks this season (502).
• The Twins rank T6th in the league for triples this season (26).
• The Rangers rank 25th in the league for runs scored this season (669).
• The Rangers rank T25th in the league for RBIs this season (645).

Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m backing the Rangers here. I don’t love having to rely on MacKenzie Gore in a winner take all scenario on the road as that has been where he has been least effective this season. However, Gore is still a solid option and the Twins have had issues against lefties for the better part of the season to this point. I think the Rangers take care of business in this one and force the Astros to win to stay alive so give me Texas.