
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction 8/1/25 MLB Picks Today
Milwaukee Brewers (64-44) vs. Washington Nationals (44-64)
August 1, 2025 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals 128 / Milwaukee Brewers -157; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 1st at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 44-64 this season after they lost two out of three against Houston by scores of 2-1, 4-7, and 1-9. In their game three loss, Washington tied the game at one in the second inning, but went scoreless over the last seven innings for the loss. The Nationals recorded five hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Lile, who went 0-2 with one RBI in the loss. Washington started Gore, who allowed eight hits and six earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Henry allowed three earned runs in relief.
Prior to that series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Reds. Washington has won three of their last five games, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.13 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 463 runs with a .244 batting average and a .310 on-base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 24 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added 15 home runs and 63 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 7-10 with a 4.91 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 113.2 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 64-44 this year after they won two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 8-4, 9-3, and 3-10. In their game three loss, Milwaukee cut the deficit to 5-3 in the fifth inning, but went scoreless over the last four innings for the loss. The Brewers recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Contreras, who went 2-4 with two home runs and two RBIs in the loss. Milwaukee started Peralta, who allowed five hits and five earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Hall allowed three earned runs in relief.
Prior to that series, the Brewers lost two out of three against the Marlins, but did win two out of three against the Mariners before that. Milwaukee has won three of its last four games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 517 runs with a .251 batting average and a .324 on-base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 20 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 17 home runs and 67 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jose Quintana, who is 7-4 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 82.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Brewers will beat the Nationals
- The Brewers have won eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last six home games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Friday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as favorites against the Nationals have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five home games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Josh Bell has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Nationals Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six home appearances after not playing the previous day.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Jose Quintana has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Danny Jansen has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup after picking up a huge series win over the Cubs, and they are now leading the NL Central by a slim margin. The Brewers are 28-24 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 21-31 at home. Washington is one of the worst pitching teams in baseball, and they are starting Parker, who has been very inconsistent this year. Milwaukee is going with Quintana, who has allowed 2, 4, 1, and 3 earned runs in his last four outings. I think the pitching matchup is somewhat even, but I don’t trust anything about the Washington bullpen. Take the Brewers here.