MLB Picks

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 6/13/25 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (25-41) vs. Washington Nationals (30-38)
June 13, 2025 6:45 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals -126 / Miami Marlins +104; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Washington Nationals meet Friday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Nationals vs Marlins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Edward Cabrera for the start here, and Cabrera is 2-2 with a 3.99 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Nationals, Cabrera is 1-3 with a 4.38 ERA and 27 strikeouts. Mitchell Parker is getting the call for the Nationals here and is 4-6 with a 4.44 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. In his career, Parker is 1-0 with a 2.01 ERA and 14 strikeouts against the Marlins.


Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back from their 5-2 loss at the hands of the Pittsburgh Pirates last time out to sit at 25-41 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head home for a series against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Marlins Drop 8 Of Their Last 10

Xavier Edwards has 56 hits, including 6 doubles and a team-high 11 stolen bases, while Eric Wagaman has 57 hits with 13 doubles. Otto Lopez has 42 hits with 7 doubles and 6 home runs with 24 RBIs, and Matt Mervis has 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 59 hits with 8 doubles, 2 triples, 10 home runs, and 33 RBIs, but also has 72 strikeouts, while Mervis has 50 K’s as well so far this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Nationals have lost five of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in five of their last six games against NL East opponents following a road loss.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last seven games as road underdogs.
  • Edward Cabrera has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded an RBI in six of the Marlins’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kyle Stowers has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five games against NL East opponents.
  • Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in each of the Marlins’ last three games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Nationals after not playing the previous day.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to bounce back from their 4-3 loss at the hands of the New York Mets last time out to fall to 30-38 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will square off against the Colorado Rockies at home.

Nationals Lose Fifth Straight And 8 Of Their Last 10

Keibert Ruiz has 53 hits with 10 doubles and a pair of home runs with 22 RBIs, while James Wood has 72 hits with 16 doubles and a team-high 16 home runs, along with 45 RBIs and 9 stolen bases while also putting up 81 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 59 hits with 11 doubles and 42 RBIs, along with 9 home runs and 76 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 9 home runs and 22 RBIs along with 14 doubles and 11 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 15 doubles and 7 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged a team-high 11 stolen bases this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
  • The Nationals have won each of their last five night games against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last eight Friday games against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Friday night games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • CJ Abrams has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Luis Garcia has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
  • Keibert Ruiz has recorded an RBI in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 10 games against the Marlins.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Nationals’ last 10 home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Marlins’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Nationals here. I still don’t trust the Marlins against left-handed pitching, and while both are 2-8 in their last 10, I feel like the Nationals are in the better position. Mitchell Parker has historically pitched better at home, and I am still really waiting for Edward Cabrera to really turn it around. Give me the Nationals to draw first blood here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Washington Nationals -126

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

Related Articles

Back to top button