Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 9/3/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 3rd at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 55-83 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 2-0 and 5-2. In their game two win, Washington had their lead cut to 3-2 in the fourth inning, but immediately scored two runs in the bottom half of the inning in the win. The Nationals recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Wood, who went 2-5 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Washington started Cavalli, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Ferrer picked up another save. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals lost all three against the Rays and all three against the Yankees. Washington has lost eight of their last ten games and they are last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .267 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 578 runs with a .243 batting average and a .308 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 27 home runs and 86 RBIs, while CJ Abrams has added 17 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 7-15 with a 5.94 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 141.0 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 65-74 this season after they lost game two by a score of 5-2 on Tuesday night. Miami scored two runs in the fourth inning, but failed to score in the final five innings for the loss. The Marlins recorded four hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Norby, who went 2-4 with two RBIs in the game. Miami started Mazur, who allowed 10 hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Tarnok finished the last two innings. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins won three out of four against the Mets, but did lose two out of three against the Braves before that. Miami has lost three of their last five games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.66 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 601 runs with a .249 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers (IL) has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 19 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 6-4 with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 71.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Nationals will beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost each of their last 11 Wednesday day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Nationals have won five of their last seven games as underdogs against the Marlins.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against the Marlins following a win.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Marlins will beat the Nationals

• The favorites have won each of the Nationals’ last 10 games.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Nationals’ last eight games.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Marlins have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against the Nationals at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the last eight games between the Marlins and Nationals at Nationals Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Marlins’ last six games as favorites against the Nationals have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven Wednesday games at Nationals Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four games against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Marlins as favorites against NL opponents.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in six of his last 19 appearances in day games.

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 

Washington comes into this contest looking for a very rare series sweep, as they have been pretty bad for the majority of this year. The Nats are 28-42 at home this year, while the Marlins are 34-37 on the road. Miami has scored just two runs in this series, but they will go against Parker, who has allowed 3, 6, 5, 5, and 4 earned runs in his last five starts. The Nationals will go against Perez, who has allowed at least four earned runs in three of his last five outings. Take the over in this game.