Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 8/14/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 14th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 48-72 this year after they lost two out of three against Kansas City by scores of 4-7, 5-8, and 8-7. In their game three win, Washington jumped out to a 5-0 lead in the first inning, but they needed a run in the ninth to escape with the victory. The Nationals recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Lowe, who went 1-3 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Washington started Irvin, who allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Ferrer picked up the win. 

Prior to that series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Giants, but lost two out of three against the Athletics before that. Washington has won three of their last five games and they are currently last in the NL East standings behind teams like the Miami Marlins. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.36 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .271 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 515 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 25 home runs and 78 RBIs, while Nathaniel Lowe has added 16 home runs and 68 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Brad Lord, who is 3-6 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 85.0 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-51 this season after they lost two out of three against Cincinnati by scores of 4-1, 1-6, and 0-8. In their game three loss, Philadelphia fell apart in the sixth and seventh innings for the blowout loss. The Phillies recorded just three hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Stott, Turner, and Schwarber, who all had one hit in the loss. Philadelphia started Sanchez, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Romano allowed four earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Phillies won all three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Orioles. Philadelphia has won four of their last six games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 556 runs with a .253 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 42 home runs and 97 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 15 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 11-5 with a 4.20 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 133.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Nationals

• The Nationals have lost each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games against the Nationals following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Nationals following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line each of their last four home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Nationals have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Thursday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Phillies’ last nine night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Phillies and Nationals at Nationals Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven night games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games as road favorites against National League opponents.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Nathaniel Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two home games against the Phillies.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against NL opponents.
• J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
• Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.

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Nationals vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this series after being outscored 14-1 in their last two games and they will look to turn things around here. The Phillies are 32-30 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 22-36 at home. Washington continues to be a disaster with their pitching staff, but they are starting Lord, who has allowed one earned run in three of his last four starts. The Phillies are starting Luzardo, who has allowed 1, 3, and 0 earned runs in his last three starts. I don’t trust this Washington pitching staff, so I will back the Phillies by at least two here.