Nationals vs Yankees Prediction 7/12/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 12th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 48-48 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 3-5 and 2-4. In game two, Washington led 2-0 in the first inning, but they allowed four runs in the eighth for the loss. The Nationals recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Wood, who went 3-5 with one home run and one RBI. Mikolas allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Beeter blew the save and picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Astros, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that. 

This season, Washington has a 4.75 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .260 opponent batting average, while they have scored 513 runs with a .250 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 20 home runs and 67 RBIs, while James Wood has added 27 home runs and 63 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 5-4 with a 3.88 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 92.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 53-42 this season after they won game two by a score of 4-2 on Saturday afternoon. New York trailed for most of the game, but they came to life with four runs in the eighth for the win. The Yankees recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Grisham, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Schlittler allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings, while Headrick got the win and Bednar picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York split four games with the Rays and lost two out of three against the Twins. 

This season, New York has a 3.39 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 457 runs with a .237 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 29 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 7-4 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 93.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against the Yankees following a loss.
• The Yankees have lost nine of their last 13 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 13 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Nationals have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games.
• The Yankees have lost the first inning in each of their last four day games.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have won each of their last seven day games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against the Nationals.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Yankees and Nationals at Nationals Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last seven games as underdogs.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last four day games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• James Wood has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last four games as underdogs.
• Cade Cavalli has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Nationals as home underdogs.
• James Wood has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 15 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Cade Cavalli has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
• Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (33) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ben Rice has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances against the Nationals.
• Will Warren has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances against NL East opponents.
• Jasson Dominguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL opponents.
• Ben Rice ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.598) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (513).
• The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (488).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (142).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.39).

Nationals vs Yankees Prediction 

New York was able to escape game two with a win on Saturday and they have won three games in a row. The Yankees are 30-22 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 20-30 at home. Washington has dropped three of their last four games and their bullpen continues to be a disaster. The Nationals are starting Cavalli, who has allowed 3, 0, 2, 2, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts, while Warren has allowed 5+ earned runs in two of his last three outings. Take the Nationals here.