NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5-10-24 Picks

The Atlanta Braves and NY Mets meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 22-12 on the season and just beat the Red Sox twice. The Atlanta Braves have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Atlanta Braves have lost 6 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Marcell Ozuna leads the Atlanta Braves with 40 hits and 38 RBI, while Ronald Acuna Jr. and Michael Harris II have combined for 70 hits and 21 RBI.

NY Mets Betting Preview

The NY Mets look to get above a .500 record after wins over the Cubs and Cardinals. The NY Mets have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The NY Mets have won 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Starling Marte leads the NY Mets with 36 hits and 15 RBI, while Jeff McNeil and Francisco Lindor have combined for 61 hits and 27 RBI.

Atlanta Braves vs NY Mets Pitching Matchup

Charlie Morton gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 2-0 with a 3.50 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. Morton has struck out at least 4 batters in each of his first 6 starts. Morton has a 4.15 ERA and .238 allowed batting average in 17.1 road innings. Morton is 6-6 with a 3.71 ERA and 124 strikeouts in his career against the NY Mets.

Jose Quintana gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. The Mets are 4-2 in Quintana’s last 6 starts. Quintana has a 2.04 ERA and .206 allowed batting average in 17.2 home innings. Quintana is 3-5 with a 6.55 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Atlanta Braves.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won four of their last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have lost three of their last four games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Mets have lost 10 of their last 11 night games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Braves have won each of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against National League opponents following a road win.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Mets.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against NL East opponents.

NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Atlanta Braves are going to be favored for obvious reasons, as they’ve been the better, more trustworthy team. However, the Mets have shown flashes over these last couple of weeks and have to view this series as a chance to get back in the thick of things. While Charlie Morton has been better than Jose Quintana overall, Quintana has saved his best stuff for when he pitches at home. Quintana has a 2.04 ERA at come this season. This feels like a spot where the Mets could steal one and make an early statement to the rest of the NL East. Give me the home dog.