Chicago Cubs (17-11) vs. NY Mets (14-13)
April 29, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -130 / Chicago Cubs +120; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Chicago Cubs and the New York Mets meet Monday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Chicago Cubs will send Jameson Taillon to the mound here and Taillon is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. In his career, Taillon is 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Mets. The New York Mets have Luis Severino listed as the starter here and he is 2-2 with a 2.67 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. In his career, Severino is 2-2 with a 2.67 ERA and 26 strikeouts against the Cubs.
Chicago Cubs Recap
The Chicago Cubs come into this one looking to bounce back after their loss in Sunday night’s rubber match with the Red Sox by a final score of 5-4. The series loss followed up their sweep of the Astros and their series split with the Miami Marlins. Chicago fell behind early and eventually broke through in the late innings, tying the game at four before being walked off in the bottom of the 9th. The Cubs will meet the Brewers after this series.
Cubs Offense Remains Inconsistent
Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs with 29 hits, 7 doubles and a .282 batting average while Michael Busch has a team-high 6 home runs with 17 RBIs and Cody Bellinger has 5 homers with 17 RBIs of his own this season. Busch also has a team-high 33 strikeouts while Dansby Swanson, Christopher Morel and Seiya Suzuki all have 3 homers so far this season.
Chicago Cubs Team Facts
- The Cubs have lost each of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games following a loss.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last four games at Citi Field.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Citi Field against National League opponents that held a winning record.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to build on a 4-2 over St. Louis on Sunday that salvaged a win and avoided the sweep, but it was a second straight series loss after losing to the Giants earlier in the week. It was a back and forth duel that needed extra innings, but three runs in the bottom of the 11th handed the Mets the win. The Mets will face the Rays, Cardinals, and Braves following this series.
Mets Also Looking For Consistency
Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 8 home runs along with 14 RBIs while Brandon Nimmo has 2 home runs and a team-high 17 RBIs. Jeff McNeil has a team-high 6 doubles while Starling Marte has a team-high 30 hits with 6 stolen bases and Harrison Bader has 5 SB as well this season.
New York Mets Team Facts
- The Mets have won each of their last seven night games at Citi Field after going to extra innings.
- The Mets have covered the run line each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven night games.
Chicago Cubs vs NY Mets prediction
I’m on the Mets in this game. I just think the Mets have higher upside right now along with the fact that they didn’t have to travel after a Sunday night game, which isn’t a claim we can stake for the Chicago Cubs in this spot. I think the starting pitching matchup is a wash, and both bullpens have been decent as of late, so I think the rest and travel spot is enough to tip the scales in New York’s favor for me here.
