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NY Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 4-30-24 Picks

Chicago Cubs (18-11) vs. NY Mets (14-14)
April 30, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -130 / Chicago Cubs +120; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago Cubs and the New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a NY Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send Javier Assad to the mound here and is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. This will be Assad’s second career start against the Mets. The New York Mets will trot out Sean Manaea for this start and he is 1-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. In his career, Manaea is 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA and 9 strikeouts against the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs Recap

The Chicago Cubs come into this one fresh off of starting their series with a 3-1 win over the New York Mets on Monday. This follows up the series loss to the Red Sox which likely helped the Cubs get some of the bad taste out of their mouths from the weekend, but it wasn’t all sunshine and rainbows as the Cubbies were no-hit through the first seven innings of this game before tying the game in the 8th and breaking through in the 9th.

Hoerner Leading Inconsistent Cubs

Going into Monday, Nico Hoerner leads the Cubs with 29 hits, 7 doubles and a .282 batting average while Michael Busch has a team-high 6 home runs with 17 RBIs and Cody Bellinger has 5 homers with 17 RBIs of his own this season. Busch also has a team-high 33 strikeouts while Dansby Swanson, Christopher Morel and Seiya Suzuki all have 3 homers so far this season.

Chicago Cubs Team Facts

  • The Cubs have won each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Mets following a road win.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • The Cubs have lost the first inning in each of their last three road games against NL East opponents.
  • The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six games as underdogs.

New York Mets Recap

The Mets on the other hand got off to a decent start with a run in the first inning, but that was as good as it got as they really struggled the rest of the way and had issues putting anything up after that and in the end, the bullpen let the Mets down as they were unable to win a series opener for the third straight series after doing so against the Cardinals and Giants.

Alonso Leading Mets As Per Usual

Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 8 home runs along with 14 RBIs while Brandon Nimmo has 2 home runs and a team-high 17 RBIs. Jeff McNeil has a team-high 6 doubles while Starling Marte has a team-high 30 hits with 6 stolen bases and Harrison Bader has 5 SB as well this season.

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Cubs following a home loss.
  • The Mets have covered the run line each of their last 10 Tuesday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Cubs and Mets.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 12 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.

NY Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction

I’m on the Cubs in this one. Assad’s been rock solid so far this season and while I’m not sure how fond I am of the Cubs’ bullpen, the thing is they’ve been crushing left-handed pitching for the better part of the last two weeks. The Mets have hit righties well, but I’m still not sold on Sean Manaea and I think the Cubs get to him early and often here. Give me the Cubs in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Chicago Cubs +120

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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