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NY Mets vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 4-2-24 Picks

Detroit Tigers (3-0) vs. NY Mets (0-3)
April 2, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -120 / Detroit Tigers +110; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Detroit Tigers and the New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a Tigers vs Mets prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

  • The Detroit Tigers recent form and player performance
  • The New York Mets recent form and player performance
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Detroit Tigers
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets
  • Recent betting trends in games played between the Tigers and Mets
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Tigers vs Mets game

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Tigers had a good opening series versus the White Sox over the weekend, taking the road sweep by one run each game 1-0, 7-6 and 3-2. In Monday’s opener versus the Mets, Detroit was able to strike first with a 5-0 win. The Tigers scored all their runs in the top of the 10th inning for an odd finish. Carson Kelly did most of the damage with a three-run homer.

As starting pitcher for game two, the Tigers will send out Casey Mize. It’s been a long road back for Mize, as he hasn’t pitched since the 2022 season following Tommy John and back surgery. In his career, Mize is 7-13 with a 4.29 ERA in 39 starts.

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they didn’t have any luck versus the Brewers over the weekend. New York fell in a sweep 3-1, 7-6 and 4-1. On Monday versus Detroit, New York wasted a good start from Sean Manaea. He went 6.0 innings with one hit, two walks and eight strikeouts. No one on offense was able to contribute much, and the team went 0-for-6 with runners in scoring position.

It’ll be Adrian Houser in the starting role for the Mets on Tuesday. Over 23 games (21 starts) last year Houser went 8-5 with a 4.12 ERA and 96 Ks in 111.1 innings. During his MLB career Houser has gone 31-34 with a 4.00 ERA in 129 games (97 starts).

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the Mets’ last six games.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites after going to extra innings.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.
  • The Mets have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last three games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last nine Tuesday road games.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games at Citi Field.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Tuesday games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Tigers have won the first inning in six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Mets.
  • The Tigers have led after 7 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs.

Tigers vs Mets Prediction

I’ll probably try the Mets here, provided Houser can get off to a good start. Also probably not touching it, though. New York was pretty rough in the sweep over the weekend and notched just one run in two of the three games. On Monday the Mets were able to keep the Tigers in check until that wild 10th inning rally. New York left nine runners on base, coming up empty on offense for the most part. Credit is due to a strong pitching performance by Detroit. That said, the Mets have scored one run or fewer in three of their four games so far. Making matters worse, they’ve given up three or more runs in all four. I think New York has a decent shot at a bounce-back here, but they’ve got to jumpstart the offense in a hurry.

Andrew's Free Pick: New York Mets -120

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Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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