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Milwaukee Brewers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 4-2-24 Picks

Minnesota Twins (2-1) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (3-0)
April 2, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -102 / Minnesota Twins -108; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Twins vs Brewers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

  • The Minnesota Twins recent form and player performance
  • The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins
  • Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
  • Recent betting trends in games played between the Twins and Brewers
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Twins vs Brewers game

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Twins took on the Royals over the weekend and had success in the first two games with wins 4-1 and 5-1. The Sunday finale was a disaster though, as Minnesota took a blowout loss 11-0. Starter Bailey Ober gave up most of the damage in just 1.1 innings: eight earned runs on nine hits and one walk with one K.

For their Tuesday starter gig, the Twins will send out Louie Varland. Last year in 17 games (10 starts), Varland went 4-3 with a 4.63 ERA and 71 Ks in 68.0 innings. Varland has a career record of 5-5 with a 4.40 ERA in 22 games (15 starts), striking out 92 batters over 94.0 innings.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Over on the Milwaukee side, they managed to pull off a three-game sweep of the Mets in their opening series. The Brewers won those games 3-1, 7-6 and 4-1. In the Sunday finale, Milwaukee’s Colin Rea bagged 5.0 innings with one earned on five hits and two walks. Willy Adames had two hits with two walks and an RBI on offense.

It’ll be Jakob Junis in the starting pitcher role Tuesday for the Brewers. Last season Junis went 4-3 with a 3.87 ERA in 40 games (four starts). He posted 96 Ks in 86.0 innings and had one save. Junis is 38-45 in his career with a 4.64 ERA in 168 games (110 starts).

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the Brewers’ last five games.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five day games.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

  • The Twins have won each of their last eight road games following a loss.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games following a road loss.
  • The Twins have lost the first inning in each of their last three games at American Family Field.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last five games at American Family Field.

Twins vs Brewers Prediction

I’ll lean toward the Brewers in this one. Junis should be able to post a solid start here, even if he’s not out there for terribly long. Last year Junis worked a moderate 86.0 innings, which is down pretty sharply from his peak of 177.0 in 2018. The Brewers scored 14 runs across three games this past weekend while holding the Mets to just one run in two of those. Minnesota should be a bit of a stiffer challenge, though.

Speaking of the Twins, they’ll need an offensive bounce-back here following a rough outing (four hits) versus the Royals on Sunday. Varland should be able to keep things manageable, but in the end I like Milwaukee better win-wise.

Andrew's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -102

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Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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