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NY Mets vs LA Dodgers Prediction 5-29-24 Picks

LA Dodgers (33-22) vs. NY Mets (22-30)
May 29, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets +122 / LA Dodgers -143; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs LA Dodgers Prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Dodgers played the Cincinnati Reds in their weekend series. Los Angeles had some troubles in that one, falling in a sweep 9-6, 3-1 and 4-1. In the Tuesday doubleheader versus the Mets, the Dodgers powered out a 5-2 win in game one. In the nightcap Los Angeles kept it up with a 3-0 victory.

In the starter role for the Dodgers on Wednesday it’ll be James Paxton. This year Paxton is 5-0 with a 3.49 ERA in nine starts. He’s got 28 Ks in 49.0 innings. Paxton is 69-38 with a 3.68 ERA in 165 total starts over his career.

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they took on the San Francisco Giants in their weekend set. New York lost 8-7 in the opener and 7-2 in game two before a 4-3 victory on Sunday. In game one on Tuesday the Mets gave up 11 hits on the way to the loss. In game two New York surrendered another 10 hits in a shutout.

It’ll be David Peterson in the starter slot for the Mets on Wednesday. This will be Peterson’s season debut. In his career Peterson is 18-21 with a 4.51 ERA in 80 games (64 starts) total.

Dodgers vs Mets Injury Notes

The Dodgers will proceed cautiously with 3B Max Muncy’s oblique strain.

Mets SP Kodai Senga (shoulder) may not be able to return from the 60-day Injured List until after the All-Star break.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Dodgers’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Mets’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven day games at Citi Field.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last three day games.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six Wednesday day games.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last 11 Wednesday day games.
  • Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in five of the Mets’ last six Wednesday day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 Wednesday day games.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded a Single in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Chris Taylor has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded at least one Single in each of the Dodgers’ last nine road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one total base in each of the Dodgers’ last 12 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • James Outman has scored a run in five of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded an RBI in four of the Dodgers’ last five road games against the Mets.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 12 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit at least one home run in three of his five previous road appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.

NY Mets vs LA Dodgers Prediction

I’ll stay with the Dodgers. Paxton does need a good bounce-back after a rough start May 24 versus the Reds, however. In that one, Paxton gave up five earned runs in 4.2 innings on five hits and four walks during a no-decision. Prior to that, Paxton had just three earned over a 12.0-inning span in two starts.

On Tuesday, the Dodgers needed a late outburst of offense (three runs in the 10th) to finish off the extra-innings win in game one. In the nightcap, Los Angeles kept the offense hot as three different players had multiple hits. I like the Dodgers to keep it up in the finale.

Andrew's Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -143

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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