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NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 6-12-24 Picks

Miami Marlins (23-43) vs. NY Mets (28-37)
June 12, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -138 / Miami Marlins +127; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a NY Mets vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 12th at Citi Field.

Marlins Pitching Stepped Up

The Marlins pitching really stepped up on Tuesday giving up only two runs and that was enough for the victory. The Marlins are averaging 3.58 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.09 runs per game. The offense is ranked 28th in the league while the pitching is ranked 28th in the league. They have a run differential of -1.51 which is 28th in the league. Bryan De La Cruz has hit 11 home runs and driven in 28 RBIs. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Braxton Garrett who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 5.81. In his last start against the Tampa Bay Rays, he went 2.2 innings giving up six hits and five earned runs. 



Why the Marlins Will Win

  • The underdogs have won seven of the last eight games between the Marlins and Mets.
  • The Mets have lost five of their last six games as home favorites.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as home favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in 10 of the last 11 games between the Marlins and Mets.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Mets Have Been Awful

The Mets have been awful this season and they struggled again on Tuesday. Tylor Megil went 4.2 innings giving up four hits and two runs. The Mets are averaging 4.38 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.89 runs per game. The offense is ranked 14th in the league while the pitching is ranked 26th in the league. They have a run differential of -0.52 which is 22nd in the league. Pete Alonso has hit 14 home runs and driven in 32 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Mets will be David Peterson and he sits with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 3.09. In his last start against the Washington Nationals, he went 6.2 innings giving up five hits and two runs. 

Why the Mets Will Win

  • The Mets have won each of their last nine home games against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last eight games at Citi Field following a win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Marlins following a loss.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.

NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Mets are going to have no issue here, and they might win this game by five or six runs. Garrett gets the start for the Marlins, and he has had some major issues this season. In his last start, he went 2.2 innings and gave up five earned runs. The Mets offense is going to tee off on him and that is going to be the difference here as they win this game in blowout fashion.  Back the Mets to win this game on the run line.

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Mets -1.5

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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