NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction 6-13-24 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a NY Mets vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 13th at Citi Field. 

Another Awful Season for the Marlins

It’s another awful season for the Marlins and they come into this game with a 23-44 record. On Wednesday the pitching gave up ten runs. The Marlins are averaging 3.59 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.05 runs per game. The offense is ranked 28th in the league while the pitching is ranked 28th in the league. They have a run differential of -1.45 which is 28th in the league. Jazz Chisholm has hit nine home runs and driven in 31 RBIs. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Roddery Munhoz who sits with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 5.95. In his last start against the Cleveland Guardians, he went four innings giving up five hits and four runs. The Marlins will face the Nationals and Cardinals following this series.

Why the Marlins Will Win

• The Mets have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against the Marlins following a win.
• The Marlins have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games at Citi Field following a win.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four night games at Citi Field following a loss.

Mets Offense Impressed

The Mets offense sure impressed on Wednesday and they were able to secure the 10-4 victory. Francisco Lindor, Harrison Bader, and Starling Marte all hit a home run. Marte and Bader also both drove in two RBIs. The Mets are averaging 4.39 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.87 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th in the league while the pitching is ranked 26th. They have a negative run differential of -0.54 which is 23rd in the league. Pete Alonso has hit 14 home runs and driven in 32 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Mets will be Luis Severino who sits with a 4-2 record and an ERA of 3.25. In his last start against the Washington Nationals, he went eight innings giving up seven hits and one run. 

Why the Mets Will Win

• The Mets have won each of their last 12 Thursday night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games.

NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction

The Mets are going to find success in this game. I don’t trust the Marlins offense especially against Severino who has been a bright spot for the Mets. Severino in his last start gave up only one run and he’s going to lockdown in this game. The Marlins are going to struggle to score even two runs, and this is going to be an easy victory for the Mets. Back the Mets on the run line to cash.