Miami Marlins (45-78) vs. NY Mets (64-59)
August 18, 2024 12:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -208 / Miami Marlins +173; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 18th, at Citi Field.
Mets Dominated Saturday’s Game
The Mets dominated Saturday’s game with the pitching, and that was enough for the 4-0 victory. Luis Severino was dominant going nine innings giving up four hits and zero runs. Francisco Lindor hit a home run. The Mets are averaging 4.81 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.56 runs per game. The offense is ranked 10th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 20th. In this game, the pitching is going to need to get out to a fast start again. Getting the start for the Mets here will be Paul Blackburn, who sits with a 5-3 record and an ERA of 4.43. In his last start against the Oakland Athletics he went four innings giving up six hits and seven runs. He needs to be better here.
How Does Marlins Offense Respond?
After struggling so bad with the offense on Saturday, the Marlins are going to look to bounce back here. The pitching actually wasn’t awful, the lack of scoring just really let them down. The Marlins are averaging 3.68 runs, while their pitching is giving up 5.05 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 28th. Jake Burger has hit 24 home runs and driven in 55 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Valente Bellozo who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 2.28. In his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies, he went seven innings, giving up four hits and zero runs.
Why the Marlins Will Beat the Mets
- The Mets have lost six of their last nine games as home favorites against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have won four of their last five Sunday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Sunday day games.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 day games against teams that held a winning record.
NY Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The Marlins struggled on Saturday, but this is a perfect chance to push back here. Bellozo has been really impressive in his last starts this season and in his last start he gave up zero runs in seven innings. Blackburn in his last start really struggled, and the Marlins are going to get on him early. The Marlins still might only score four runs total, but that will be enough to get the job done. Back the Marlins on the money line to cash.
