NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 5-13-24 Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and NY Mets meet Monday in MLB game 1 action at Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 28-13 on the year and just beat the Blue Jays and Marlins. The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 22 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 9 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have won 8 of their last 9 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Alec Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 50 hits and 32 RBI, while Trea Turner and J.T. Realmuto have combined for 84 hits and 24 RBI.

NY Mets Betting Preview

The NY Mets look to get back to a .500 record after recent games against the Cardinals and Braves. The NY Mets have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The NY Mets have won 4 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Starling Marte leads the NY Mets with 37 hits and 15 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have combined for 66 hits and 43 RBI.

Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Mets Pitching Matchup

Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 2-3 with a 3.22 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. The Phillies are 2-5 this season when Sanchez pitches. Sanchez has a 5.84 ERA and .315 allowed batting average in 12.1 road innings. Sanchez is 1-2 with a 4.12 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the NY Mets.

Sean Manaea gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 2-1 with a 3.31 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. The Mets have won 4 straight games when Manaea pitches. Manaea has a 4.30 ERA and .236 allowed batting average in 14.2 home innings. Manaea is 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Mets following a road loss.
• The Mets have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Phillies following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Phillies following a win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Mets following a road loss.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost each of their last four games at Citi Field following a win.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last 13 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last 12 night games against opponents that held a losing record.

NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies have been the better team this season and should be favored, but Sanchez hasn’t had much luck this year despite pitching well. Sanchez has also had issues on the road despite a smallish sample size. Sean Manaea has shown flashes here and there up to this point, and the Mets produce offensively when he’s on the mound. The Mets have been close to going on a run and maybe last nights walk off win is the spark they needed. At home and with the plus money, I’m going to side with the Mets to get another big win over a division rival.