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NY Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction 6-16-24 Picks

San Diego Padres (37-37) vs. NY Mets (32-37)
June 16, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -101 / San Diego Padres -109; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and NY Mets meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres look to get above a .500 record before playing the Phillies and Brewers. The San Diego Padres have scored 7 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The San Diego Padres have won 13 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 80 hits and 35 RBI, while Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have combined for 148 hits and 90 RBI.

NY Mets Betting Preview

The NY Mets are 32-37 on the year and play the Rangers and Cubs next. The NY Mets have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The NY Mets have won 6 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Starling Marte leads the NY Mets with 65 hits and 28 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have combined for 125 hits and 64 RBI.

San Diego Padres vs NY Mets Pitching Matchup

Dylan Cease gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 6-5 with a 3.36 ERA and 101 strikeouts this season. Cease has allowed 12 hits and 4 runs in his last 12 innings. Cease has a 3.00 ERA and .174 allowed batting average in 48 road innings. This will be Cease’s second career game against the NY Mets.

Tylor Megill gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 1-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. Megill has allowed 12 hits and 7 earned runs in his last 9.2 innings. Megill has a 2.30 ERA and .196 allowed batting average in 15.2 home innings. This will be Megill’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
  • The Padres have lost each of their last six road games.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine day games against the Padres at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • J.D. Martinez has hit at least one home run in two of the Mets’ last three games against NL opponents.
  • Tylor Megill has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Mets as home underdogs.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL West opponents.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets’ last seven games against NL West opponents at Citi Field.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against the Padres.
  • Jose Iglesias has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances at Citi Field.
  • Jose Iglesias has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two games as road favorites against the Mets.
  • Manny Machado has recorded two or more RBIs in four of the Padres’ last five games as favorites against the Mets.
  • Dylan Cease has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances with the Padres as road favorites against NL opponents.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Padres’ last seven games as favorites.
  • Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Padres as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL East opponents.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 11 games as road favorites.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in 21 of his last 22 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

NY Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction

You can make a case for the San Diego Padres with Dylan Cease on the mound, a pitcher who is missing bats at an elite level and can get you close to the finish line. However, the Mets have won 4 straight games and are inching closer toward a .500 record, which could encourage them to not sell come the trade deadline. These are big weeks coming up for the Mets. Tylor Megill has been respectable this season and has been even better at home in a small sample size. Near pick em prices, I’ll ride the hot Mets at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: NY Mets -101

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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