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NY Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 4-28-24 Picks

St. Louis Cardinals (12-14) vs. NY Mets (13-12)
April 28, 2024 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -115 / St. Louis Cardinals -103; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a NY Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 28th at Citi Field.

Cardinals Suddenly Getting Hot?

The Cardinals have struggled this season but maybe they are finally figuring it out, and they have won three games in a row. On Saturday the Cardinals scored seven runs on the way to the victory. Paul Goldschmidt finished with two hits and two RBIs. The Cardinals are averaging 3.5 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.4 runs per game. The offense is ranked 26th in the league while the pitching is ranked 20th. The pitching hasn’t been strong for this team, but overall this season the offense has been even worse and they need to find a way to get more production with the offense. Second baseman Nolan Gorman has hit four home runs and driven in 12 RBis. 

Will the Good Lynn Show Up Here?

Getting the start for the Cardinals will be Lance Lynn who sits with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 2.81. In his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks, he went five innings giving up seven hits and three runs. 

Mets Suddenly Struggling

The Mets are suddenly struggling and on Saturday the pitching really struggled. At the end of the first inning they were down 4-0 and they couldn’t bounce back. Brandon Nimmo finished with two hits and two RBIs. The Mets are averaging 4.6 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.28 runs per game. The offense is ranked 11th in the league, while the defense is ranked 17th. They are averaging 1.08 home runs per game which is 8th in the league. Pete Alonso has hit eight home runs and driven in 14 RBIs. Getting the start for the Mets will be Jose Quintana, who sits with a 1-2 record and an ERA of 4.21. In his last start against the San Francisco Giants, he went five innings giving up seven hits and five runs. 

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Cardinals and Mets at Citi Field.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a home loss.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six games as favorites.
  • The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last three Sunday games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as home favorites against National League opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won four of the Cardinals’ last five games at Citi Field.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four day games at Citi Field.
  • The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

NY Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

The Cardinals are going to have no issue here. The Mets might have the better offense on paper, but they are going to struggle here. Lynn sits with an ERA of 2.81 and in his last start he gave up only three runs. The Mets offense is going to have some major issues going here, and that will be the difference here, as the Cardinals are going to get the job done. Back the Cardinals on the money line. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Cardinals ML

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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