NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9-16-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a NY Mets vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 16th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

NY Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 81-68 this year and they have split their last four games. New York is coming off of a series loss against Philadelphia, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Mets won two out of three against the Blue Jays, won two out of three against the Reds, and swept the Red Sox. New York is 12-4 in their last 16 games and they are tied for second in the NL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Mets’ offense has scored 708 runs with a .247 batting average and a .319 on-base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .241 with 32 home runs and 81 RBI’s for the Mets this season.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 68-81 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Washington is coming off a series win against the Marlins, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Nationals split two games with the Braves, split four games with the Pirates, and split two games with the Marlins. Washington is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the NL East. 

The Washington pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Nationals’ offense has scored 624 runs with a .244 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage. Luis Garcia is batting .282 with 16 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Nationals this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 11-5 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 164.0 innings pitched this year. Manaea has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Jake Irvin, who is 10-12 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 172.0 innings pitched this season. Irvin has allowed at least six earned runs in two of his last three starts. 

Why the Mets will beat the Nationals

• The Mets have won each of their last six night games following a loss.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last six night games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games at Citi Field.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Nationals’ last eight road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Mets’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight Monday games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Iglesias has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine home appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Sean Manaea has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Jeff McNeil has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last three night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
• Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 appearances at Citi Field.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Joey Gallo has hit a home run in three of his seven previous road appearances against the Mets.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Citi Field.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances at Citi Field.
• Keibert Ruiz has scored at least one run in each of the Nationals’ last six road games against NL East opponents.
• Joey Gallo has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances at Citi Field.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (545).
• The New York Mets rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.231).
• The Washington Nationals rank 1st in the league for steals this season (209).
• The Washington Nationals rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (127).

NY Mets vs Washington Nationals Prediction 

New York comes into this game continuing to battle the Braves in the NL Wild Card race, as they are currently tied for the last spot. The Mets are 40-34 at home this year, while the Nationals are 32-42 on the road. Washington has played well over the last week and a half, but I don’t trust Irvin, who has been inconsistent at times this year. New York is going with Manaea, who hasn’t been great but has been solid over the last two months. I think the Mets will get to Irvin here and I like them to win by at least two runs.