Baltimore Orioles (47-25) vs. NY Yankees (51-24)
June 19, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -170 / Baltimore Orioles +145; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 19th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the seres.
Yankees are Leading the AL East
The New York Yankees are 51-24 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. New York won game one in this series by a score of 4-2 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Red Sox, won three out of four against the Royals, and lost two out of three against the Dodgers. New York is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are leading the AL East by 2.5 games over Baltimore.
The New York pitching staff has a 3.01 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .215 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 378 runs with a .252 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .313 with 18 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York is leading the MLB in team ERA this year, but they have allowed 19 runs in their last three games.
Orioles Trying to Stay Hot Offensively
The Baltimore Orioles are 47-25 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Baltimore dropped game one in this series and only scored two runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Phillies, won two out of three against the Braves, and swept the Rays in four games. Baltimore is 8-3 in their last 11 games, but they continue to trail New York in the AL East.
The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.09 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .217 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 366 runs with a .249 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .273 with 22 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore is fourth in the MLB in runs scored this year and they have scored at least four runs in eight of their last eleven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who is making his first start of the season for the Yankees. Cole has thrown three rehab outings and he threw 70 pitches on Friday, which may put him on a pitch restriction here. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cade Povich, who is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 11.1 innings pitched this year. Povich allowed six earned runs and five hits over 5.1 innings against the Blue Jays in his first start, but he threw six shutout innings against the Braves in his second start.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
The Orioles have won each of their last seven night games against the Yankees following a loss.
The Yankees have lost 10 of their last 12 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last 12 road games after playing the previous day.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Orioles following a win.
Total Runs Facts
Eight of the Yankees’ last 10 home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Orioles’ last three games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four home games.
NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
New York was able to pick up a huge win in game one of this series on Tuesday night, which extended their lead in the AL East standings. The Yankees are 23-10 at home this year, while Baltimore is 22-11 on the road. The Orioles have been red hot over the last two weeks, but they need to pick up at least one win in this series to stay close. Baltimore is going with Cade Povich on the mound, who pitched very well against Atlanta in his last start. New York will be happy to get Gerrit Cole back, but I am interested to see how he does in his first start back and how many pitches he is allowed to throw. I think this is a tough first opponent for Cole and I like Baltimore to jump on him here. My NY Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for the Orioles to win.
