NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 7-5-24 Picks

The Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Red Sox are fresh off a series versus the Miami Marlins. Boston managed wins in the first two installments of that set 8-3 and 7-2. In the finale the Sox completed the sweep with a 6-5 victory. Starter Nick Pivetta managed 7.0 clean frames with 10 Ks.

For the opener versus New York the Red Sox will send out Tanner Houck. This year Houck is 7-6 with a 2.67 ERA in 17 starts. Over 91 games (58 starts) in his MLB career Houck is 22-25 with a 3.50 ERA.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they played the Cincinnati Reds in their last series. New York lost 5-4 and 3-2 in the first two installments. On Thursday the Yankees took yet another loss 8-4 Marcus Stroman coughed up five earned over 5.0 innings in the start.

As starter for Friday’s game the Yankees will send out Nestor Cortes. So far this season Cortes is 4-7 with a 3.51 ERA in 18 starts. Cortes has a 28-18 career record with a 3.75 ERA in 122 games (74 starts).

Yankees vs Red Sox Pick Injury Notes

Red Sox 1B Triston Casas (ribs) is likely two weeks away from a rehab assignment. RP Liam Hendriks (elbow) threw a bullpen session Wednesday.

Yankees 3B Jon Berti (calf) could begin taking live at-bats shortly after the All-Star break.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last six games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last eight night games between the Red Sox and Yankees.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• J.D. Davis has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded a win in each of his last three home appearances against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of his last 14 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Nestor Cortes Jr. has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Jose Trevino has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last six home games against AL opponents.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 appearances in night games.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as underdogs against the Yankees.
• Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as road underdogs against the Yankees.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.

NY Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

I’ll stay with Boston. The Sox need a bounce-back effort from Houck, though. In his last start Houck posted seven earned runs in 4.1 innings during a loss to the Padres. Prior to that however, Houck had four earned over 12.1 innings in two starts. As for Cortes, he’s 0-2 with six earned in 11.1 innings over his last pair.

On Thursday the Red Sox offense woke back up in the later innings and secured the tight win. Boston used six different pitchers in that one, with mixed results. On offense the Sox got a big lift from Tyler O’Neill (three hits; two RBI; run) but several guys came up empty. That said, I think Boston keeps it going against a flailing Yankees team in the Friday opener.