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Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 7-5-24 Picks

Detroit Tigers (39-48) vs. Cincinnati Reds (42-45)
July 5, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -115 / Detroit Tigers -103; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 5th at the Great American Ballpark. 

Tigers Look to Bounce Back

The Tigers faced off against the Minnesota Twins on the 4th of July, and it wasn’t a good game. It only lasted seven innings, but the pitching gave up 12 runs on the way to the defeat. Kenta Maeda probably shouldn’t be on the team anymore, and he went 3.2 innings, giving up nine hits and nine runs. The Tigers are averaging 4.09 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.39 runs per game. The offense is ranked 21st in the league, while the pitching is ranked 17th. Riley Greene has hit 16 home runs and driven in 43 RBIs. Getting the start for the Tigers will be Reese Olson, who sits at a 2-8 record and has an ERA of 3.32. In his last start against the Los Angeles Angels, he went six innings, giving up five hits and two runs. 

Why the Tigers Will Beat the Reds

  • The Reds have lost each of their last nine home games against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Tigers have won eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road loss.

Reds Impressed On Thursday

The Reds sure impressed on Thursday, and they scored eight runs on the way to the victory. The Reds scored three runs in the 5th and three runs in the 7th on the way to the victory. Spencer Steer hit a home run and drove in three RBIs. The Reds are averaging 4.29 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.06 runs per game. The offense is ranked 15th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 10th in the league. Jeimer Candelario has hit 14 home runs and driven in 40 RBis so far this season. Getting the start for the Reds will be Carson Spiers who sits with a 2-1 record and an EAR of 3.13. In his last start against the St. Louis Cardinals, he went six innings giving up three hits and two runs. 

Why the Reds Will Beat the Tigers

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last four road games against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have won each of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have covered the run line each of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers Prediction

Runs are going to be hard to come by in this game. Spiers and Olson have both been good this season. Olson also hasn’t had a ton of run support this season, and it’s going to be no different in this game. Neither the Reds nor Tigers are going to reach four runs here, and that will be the difference here. This game could end up being one of the lowest scoring on the board. Back the under to cash here. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Under

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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