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NY Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5-21-24 Picks

Seattle Mariners (26-22) vs. NY Yankees (33-16)
May 21, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -155 / Seattle Mariners +135; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a NY Yankees vs Seattle Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 21st at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series. 

Yankees Winning Streak Snapped 

The New York Yankees are 33-16 this season and they have won seven of their last eight games. New York did lose game one in this series, which ended their seven game winning streak on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Yankees swept the White Sox in three games, swept the Twins in three games, and won two out of three against Tampa Bay. New York has won 13 of their last 16 games and they are currently leading the AL East by two games over Baltimore. 

The New York pitching staff has a 2.86 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, and a .213 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 237 runs with a .257 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .271 with 13 home runs and 32 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York has scored at least four runs in eight straight games and they have the best team ERA in the MLB. 

Mariners Looking to Stop Trend

The Seattle Mariners are 26-22 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games. Seattle did win game one by a score of 5-4 on Monday night, but if that trend continues, they are due for a loss here. Prior to this series, the Mariners lost two out of three games against Baltimore, won two out of three against Kansas City, and won two out of three against Oakland. Seattle is just 6-6 in their last 12 games, but they continue to lead the AL West over the Rangers. 

The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA, a 1.09 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 182 runs with a .228 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez is batting .274 with two home runs and 14 RBI’s for the Mariners this season. Seattle is just 24th in the MLB in runs scored this season and they have scored three runs or fewer in six of their last twelve games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clarke Schmidt, who is 5-1 with a 2.49 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 50.2 innings pitched this season. Schmidt has not allowed an earned run in his last two starts (14.2 IP) and he has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Bryan Woo, who is 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA and a 0.62 WHIP over 9.2 innings pitched this year. Woo has allowed one earned run and four hits over 9.2 innings this season against Kansas City and Oakland. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

The Mariners have lost each of their last eight night games against the Yankees following a win.
The Yankees have won each of their last six games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a win.
The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Mariners following a loss.
The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against American League opponents.
The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

The underdogs have won each of the Mariners’ last six games at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees have lost three of their last four home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last nine games between the Mariners and Yankees.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Mariners have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the Mariners’ last eight night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Yankees’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five night games at Yankee Stadium.

NY Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup with one of the best records in the MLB, but Seattle was able to steal game one on Monday night. The Mariners are 11-12 on the road this year and they have really struggled to hit the ball consistently, but their pitching staff has been strong. New York has been great with their pitching and hitting this year, and Clarke Schmidt has been outstanding in his last two outings. For Seattle, Bryan Woo has only made two starts, but he has been very good. I think both pitchers are going to continue to shine and my NY Yankees vs Seattle Mariners prediction is for this game to go under the total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Under 7.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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