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NY Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5-23-24 Picks

Seattle Mariners (27-22) vs. NY Yankees (33-17)
May 23, 2024 12:35 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -141 / Seattle Mariners +119; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and the New York Yankees meet Thursday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. Here’s a NY Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Mariners played the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend. Seattle was only able to win one of those games though, taking a 4-3 win on Saturday. The Mariners came back with wins 5-4 and 6-3 versus the Yankees this week though. On Wednesday Seattle gave up seven hits in a 7-3 loss. Starting pitcher Bryce Miller finished with five earned on five hits in 6.0 innings.


In the Thursday finale the Mariners will send out Luis Castillo. This year Castillo is 4-5 with a 3.28 ERA in 10 starts. He’s got 66 Ks in 60.1 innings. Castillo is 66-69 with a 3.53 ERA in 191 career starts.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

Over on the Yankees’ side, they had a nice weekend series versus the Chicago White Sox. New York won all three of those games in a sweep 4-2, 6-1 and 7-2. After the first two losses versus the Mariners, on Wednesday the Yankees got two home runs and three RBI from Juan Soto in the victory. Nestor Cortes had 5.0 clean frames in the start with three hits and three walks.

It’ll be Luis Gil in the starting pitcher role for the Yankees on Thursday. This year so far Gil is 5-1 with a 2.39 ERA in nine starts. He’s got 62 Ks in 49.0 innings. Gil is 6-2 with a 2.95 ERA in 16 career starts. The Yankees will meet the Padres after this series.

Mariners vs Yankees Injury Notes

Mariners 2B Jorge Polanco (hamstring) was out of the lineup Tuesday.

Yankees SP Gerrit Cole (elbow) faced live hitters Tuesday and will throw another session this weekend. 3B DJ LeMahieu (foot) is expected to be activated from the IL on May 28.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Mariners’ last nine games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Yankees’ last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents at Yankee Stadium.
  • Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Mariners.
  • DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Anthony Rizzo has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last nine games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last eight Thursday games at Yankee Stadium.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Thursday appearances with the Mariners as underdogs.
  • Mitch Haniger has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last nine Thursday day appearances with the Mariners as underdogs.
  • Luis Castillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his six previous Thursday appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Dylan Moore has scored a run in four of his last five appearances in day games.
  • Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Mariners as road underdogs against the Yankees.
  • Ty France has recorded an RBI in three of the Mariners’ last four games against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded a Single in each of his last five appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.

NY Yankees vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’ll probably lean toward the Yankees. Probably also staying away. Gil is on a nice run these days. He’s got just two earned runs over his last three starts, giving up nine combined hits and seven walks over 18.0 innings. Gil is 3-0 in that time. As for Castillo, he’s given up six earned over his last 18.2 frames, going 1-1 in his last trio.

On Wednesday, the Yankees jumped out to a 4-0 lead after three innings and only got into trouble during the eighth. New York should be in a position to get the W in the Thursday finale if they can keep the bats going.

Andrew's Free Pick: New York Yankees -141

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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