NY Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 8-4-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a NY Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 4th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Yankees Continue to Win 

The New York Yankees are 66-46 this year and they have won six of their last seven games. New York dropped the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 8-3 on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Yankees swept the Phillies in three games, won two out of three against the Red Sox, and lost both games against the Mets. New York is 7-4 in their last 11 games and they are tied for first in the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 579 runs with a .251 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Aaron Judge is batting .321 with 41 home runs and 103 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York has scored at least six runs in seven of their last eight games. 

Blue Jays Pitching Allows Eight More Runs 

The Toronto Blue Jays are 51-60 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Toronto won game one in this series by a score of 8-5, but they lost game two and allowed eight runs. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost three out of four against the Orioles, swept the Rangers in three games, and lost two out of three against the Rays. Toronto is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 460 runs with a .240 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .318 with 22 home runs and 72 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has allowed at least six runs in four of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Gerrit Cole, who is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 35.0 innings pitched this year. Cole has allowed one earned run in two of his last three starts, but did allow six earned runs against the Mets in his last start. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Yariel Rodriguez, who is 1-4 with a 4.31 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 39.2 innings pitched this season. Rodriguez has allowed seven earned runs in his last three outings (10.1 IP). 

Why the Yankees will beat the Blue Jays

• The Yankees have won each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five day games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last 12 day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Yankees’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Yankees.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Anthony Volpe has recorded a Double in four of the Yankees’ last five home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five games against AL East opponents.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of the Yankees’ last nine games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees’ last five games against AL East opponents.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his 18 previous appearances at Yankee Stadium against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Aaron Judge has scored at least one run in each of the Yankees’ last seven games against AL East opponents.
• Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last 16 home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one total base in each of the Yankees’ last 16 home games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Gerrit Cole has recorded a win in eight of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in five of the Blue Jays’ last six games as underdogs against the Yankees.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as underdogs.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in 11 of the Blue Jays’ last 12 road games against AL East opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances in day games.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Yankees.
• Bo Bichette has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against the Yankees.

NY Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 

New York had their winning streak snapped on Friday night, but they picked back up with a nice win on Saturday afternoon in game two. The Yankees are battling Baltimore for first in the AL East and they are hitting the ball very well right now. New York is 28-24 at home, while Toronto is 25-32 on the road. Toronto’s pitching staff has been a disaster for most of the season and I don’t expect Rodriguez to have much success here. New York is starting Gerrit Cole, who has been inconsistent in limited action, but he should be fine against this Blue Jays offense. My NY Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction is for the Yankees to win by at least two runs.