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Orioles vs Cardinals Prediction 5/27/25 MLB Picks Today

St. Louis Cardinals (30-24) vs. Baltimore Orioles (19-34)
May 27, 2025 6:35 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -108 / St. Louis Cardinals -112; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 27th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 19-34 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-2 on Monday afternoon. Baltimore scored the first five runs in the game, but they failed to score in the final four innings in the win. The Orioles recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Carlson, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Morton, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Bautista picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles split four games with the Red Sox, but lost two out of three against the Brewers before that. Baltimore has won three games in a row, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 5.45 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and a .272 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 205 runs with a .236 batting average and a .303 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 10 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added eight home runs and 18 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Tomoyuki Sugano, who is 4-3 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 58.2 innings pitched this year. 

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 30-24 this season after they lost game one in this series on Monday. St. Louis cut the deficit to 5-2 in the fifth inning, but couldn’t get anything else going in the loss. The Cardinals recorded four hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Pages, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. St. Louis started Fedde, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Svanson, King, and Graceffo finished the final three innings. 

Prior to this series, the Cardinals swept the Diamondbacks in three games, but lost two out of three against the Tigers before that. St. Louis has won three of their last four games, and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 256 runs with a .259 batting average and a .330 on-base percentage this season. Wilson Contreras has led St. Louis with six home runs, 28 RBIs, and two stolen bases, while Lars Nootbaar has added seven home runs and 25 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 4-3 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 56.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Cardinals

  • The underdogs have won each of the Orioles’ last nine games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • The Cardinals have lost each of their last seven games against AL East opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Orioles’ last nine games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Cardinals have lost the first inning in each of their last three games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against AL East opponents.
  • The Orioles have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Cardinals’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Orioles’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Orioles’ last 11 night games against NL Central opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Dylan Carlson has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games as underdogs.
  • Ramon Urias has recorded a Single in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyler O’Neill has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL Central opponents.
  • Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Alec Burleson has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances.
  • Brendan Donovan has recorded a Double in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as road favorites.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Cardinals’ last six night games.
  • Willson Contreras has scored a run in each of the Cardinals’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one Single in 12 of his last 13 appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Lars Nootbaar has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.

Orioles vs Cardinals Prediction 

Baltimore was able to get a win on Monday afternoon in game one of this series, and they have won three games in a row. The Orioles are 9-15 at home this year, while the Cardinals are 11-16 on the road. St. Louis has been a bit inconsistent in their last six games, and they are starting Pallante, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts. The O’s are going with Sugano, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Baltimore has some momentum for the first time this season, and Sugano has been very good, so I like the Orioles to win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Orioles ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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