Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction 9/3/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 3rd at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 69-71 this season after they lost two out of three against the Rockies by scores of 2-1, 2-4, and 5-6. In game three, Baltimore led 3-0 in the third inning, but couldn’t hold the lead and allowed three runs in the 11th for the loss. The Orioles recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Robert Jr, who went 1-5 with two RBIs. Rogers allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings, while Wolfram picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore swept the Athletics in three games and won two out of three against the Cardinals. 

This season, Baltimore has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 635 runs with a .235 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 32 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 22 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 9-3 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 130.1 innings pitched this season. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 75-65 this year after they lost two out of three against the Red Sox by scores of 6-9 and 3-8. In game two, Boston allowed four runs in the third inning and four in the sixth in the loss. The Red Sox recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Anthony, who went 3-5 with one home run and one RBI. Sandoval allowed five hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Bello allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Boston lost three out of four against the Yankees, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. 

This season, Boston has a 3.66 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 627 runs with a .250 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Willson Contreras has led the Red Sox with 26 home runs and 79 RBIs, while Jarren Duran has added 19 home runs and 68 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Jake Bennett, who is 9-6 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 93.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last five games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Thursday night games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Red Sox.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine road games against the Orioles.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last five home games against the Red Sox following a loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as home underdogs following a loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in five of their last six road games following a home loss.
• The Red Sox have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Orioles’ last nine home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Red Sox’s last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last six games between the Red Sox and Orioles.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Red Sox’s last five night games against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Christian Encarnacion-Strand has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
• Brandon Young has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Orioles as home underdogs.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 14 games as underdogs.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Mickey Gasper has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last two night games.
• Jake Bennett has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
• Nick Sogard has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Jake Bennett has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction 

Baltimore comes into this matchup after a disappointing series in Colorado and they scored two runs in two of those three games. The Orioles are 34-34 at home this year, while the Red Sox are 40-31 on the road. Boston has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 8+ runs in five straight. The Red Sox are starting Bennett, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in four of his last five starts, while Young has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Take the Red Sox to win here.