Orioles vs Reds Prediction 4/19/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 19th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 8-11 this year after they lost the first game in this series on Friday night. Baltimore led 1-0 in the second inning, but they didn’t score again until the eighth inning, when they added two runs in the loss. The Orioles recorded just four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Kjerstad, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Baltimore started Povich, who allowed six hits and seven earned runs over 3.1 innings in the loss, while Blewett, Bowman, and Perez pitched the final six innings. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Guardians and split two games with the Blue Jays. Baltimore has lost five of their last eight games and they are currently fourth in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .277 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 87 runs with a .229 batting average and a .296 on base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with five home runs and 18 RBIs, while Heston Kjerstad has added three home runs and 12 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is making his MLB debut here. 

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 10-10 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 8-3. Cincinnati scored eight runs in a row between the third and sixth innings to pull away for the win. The Reds recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by McLain and De La Cruz, who both had three RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Abbott, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Barlow allowed two hits and two earned runs in 2.0 innings of relief work. 

Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Mariners, but did sweep the Pirates in three games before that. Cincinnati has won five of their last seven games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.08 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP and a .194 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 88 runs with a .218 batting average and a .296 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with four home runs and 21 RBIs, while Matt McLain has added four home runs and nine RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 2-1 with a 0.98 ERA and a 0.58 WHIP over 27.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Reds

• The underdogs have won each of the last six games between the Reds and Orioles.
• The Reds have lost each of their last six day games following a road win.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Reds and Orioles.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have lost the first inning in six of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.

Why the Reds will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost each of their last seven games against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have won four of their last five games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL Central opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Reds and Orioles.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Saturday day home games.
• The Orioles have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games.
• The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Saturday games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Orioles’ last nine home games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Reds’ last eight day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Reds’ last 11 road games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Orioles’ last 11 day games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL Central opponents.
• Ryan O’Hearn has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as underdogs.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• Tyler O’Neill has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Saturday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Ramon Urias has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances in day games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Orioles.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• TJ Friedl has recorded an RBI in each of the Reds’ last four day games.
• Jeimer Candelario has scored a run in nine of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Hunter Greene has recorded eight strikeouts in each of his last three appearances in day games.
• Jake Fraley has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with the Reds as road favorites.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Orioles vs Reds Prediction 

Cincinnati comes into this matchup playing some very solid baseball over the last week and their offense has scored at least seven runs in three of their last four games. Baltimore has not had as much success recently and they have allowed 6+ runs in three of their last five. The Reds have a huge advantage on the mound in this game, as Hunter Greene has allowed a total of four earned runs over 27.2 innings in four starts this year. I think we are going to see a lower scoring game, so I like the under here.