Orioles vs Tigers Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks Today

The Detroit Tigers and the Baltimore Orioles meet Wednesday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Orioles vs Tigers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send out Casey Mize here, and Mize is 6-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. In his career, Mize is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Baltimore. The Baltimore Orioles will send out Zach Eflin for the start here, and Eflin is 5-2 with a 4.47 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. In his career, Eflin is 1-1 with a 1.54 ERA and 8 strikeouts against Detroit.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to build on their 5-3 win over the Orioles from Tuesday’s matchup to improve to 44-24 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head home for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.

Tigers Win Back-To-Back Games

Spencer Torkelson has 54 hits along with a .237 batting average, including a team-high 15 home runs, 15 doubles, and 45 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 13 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Riley Greene has 69 hits with 14 doubles, 13 home runs, and 44 RBIs, but also has a team-high 86 strikeouts this season. Dillon Dingler has 6 home runs and 27 RBIs, and Zack McKinstry’s added 10 doubles, 5 triples, 3 home runs, and 19 RBIs of his own, along with 54 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 51 hits and 10 doubles as well as 6 home runs and 30 RBIs this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games following a loss.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against teams that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two road games against the Orioles.
• Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Orioles.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
• Riley Greene has recorded a Double in four of the Tigers’ last five games against AL East opponents.
• Wenceel Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games.
• Wenceel Perez has scored a run in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Spencer Torkelson ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (16) this season.

Baltimore Orioles Recap

The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Tigers in Tuesday’s matchup to drop to 26-39 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will square off against the Los Angeles Angels at home.

Orioles Lose Back-To-Back Games

Cedric Mullins has 42 hits so far this season, as well as 9 doubles, 10 home runs, and 31 RBIs with 8 stolen bases and a .232 batting average, while Adley Rutschman has 48 hits with 8 doubles, 7 homers, and 18 RBIs. Jackson Holliday has 57 hits with 9 doubles, 2 triples, 8 homers, and 27 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 46 hits with 13 doubles, 2 homers, and 15 RBIs, and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 65 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn also chipped in 60 hits with 8 doubles and 9 home runs with 24 RBIs, and Heston Kjerstad added 4 homers and 19 RBIs.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• The Orioles have won each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Orioles’ last eight games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Ryan O’Hearn has hit a home run in five of the Orioles’ last nine night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Zach Eflin has recorded a win in six of his last eight home appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Gary Sanchez has recorded an RBI in each of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Ramon Urias has scored a run in each of his last eight Wednesday night appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Ryan O’Hearn has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Ryan O’Hearn ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Orioles’ last nine night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Tigers’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Orioles vs Tigers Prediction

I’m backing the Tigers here. The Orioles just came out flat in Tuesday’s matchup and continue to underwhelm despite a solid lineup. I’m not sold on Zach Eflin as a starting option, despite a couple of solid outings as of late. I think that some are waiting for the other shoe to drop with Detroit, but the Tigers keep finding a way to get the job done. Give me Detroit here.