Padres vs Brewers Prediction 10/6/26 MLB Picks Today

The Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres meet Tuesday in MLB playoff action at Petco Park. Here’s a Padres vs Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Padres vs. Brewers Pick.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers look for the sweep and to make back-to-back NLCS appearances. The Brewers have won 17 of their last 20 games. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .190 in these playoffs, have a .301 OBP, and have a .302 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 1.50 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Garrett Mitchell leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 2 hits and 0 RBI, while Jackson Chourio and Jake Bauers have combined for 4 hits and 4 RBI.

Dustin May gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 7-9 with a 4.70 ERA and 144 strikeouts this season. May is 3-5 with a 3.14 ERA and 75 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres. May is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his postseason career.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres need a win to save their season and force a game 4 on Wednesday. The Padres haven’t lost three straight games since August 28-30. The San Diego Padres are batting .265 in these playoffs, have a .338 OBP, and have a .386 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 1.82 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. Ty France leads the San Diego Padres with 7 hits and 2 RBI, while Xander Bogaerts and Manny Machado have combined for 10 hits and 4 RBI.

Nick Pivetta gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 3-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Pivetta is 1-3 with an 8.75 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers. Pivetta is 1-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 27 strikeouts in his postseason career.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Brewers have lost each of their last 11 road playoff games.
• The Padres have won each of their last 10 night games following a road loss.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games following a road loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 playoff games against NL West opponents.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Brewers’ last eight games at Petco Park.
• The Padres have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Brewers following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last eight games at Petco Park.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Brewers at Petco Park following a loss.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last six playoff games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Padres’ last 10 home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 road games against NL West opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Padres’ last eight home games against NL Central opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Nick Pivetta has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 14 games as favorites.
• Gavin Sheets has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (181) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Dustin May has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL West opponents.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last seven games.
• Jake Bauers ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres rank T2nd in the league for steals this season (164).
• The Padres rank 24th in the league for doubles this season (234).
• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1422).
• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.258).

Padres vs Brewers Prediction

I understand the Padres are favored because they’re back at home where they’ve been incredible. Pivetta is also the more trustworthy arm at this stage, as he’s always had above-average stuff and May has been hittable all year, especially on the road, where he has a 5.88 ERA and a .290 allowed batting average. However, we’re getting plus money with the better team in the Brewers, who seem to have some magic fairy dust going on right now. Also, Pivetta is allowing a .304 batting average and a .400 on-base percentage against current Brewers through 69 at-bats. Give me the more favorable price with the Brewers.